Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate Moscow highs of 17–18°C on August 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited daytime solar heating that suppress temperatures below the long-term August average near 22°C. Model consensus remains tight around these values, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any late clearing that could allow modest warming. Official guidance from agencies such as the UK Met Office currently projects a 17°C maximum, aligning with trader-implied probabilities clustering at 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations expected later on August 13 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 14?
18°C 39%
17°C 25%
19°C 20%
16°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
10%
17°C
25%
18°C
39%
19°C
20%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 39%
17°C 25%
19°C 20%
16°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
$475 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$879 Vol.
2%
15°C
$237 Vol.
3%
16°C
$735 Vol.
10%
17°C
$1,395 Vol.
25%
18°C
$732 Vol.
39%
19°C
$928 Vol.
20%
20°C
$90 Vol.
3%
21°C
$189 Vol.
1%
22°C
$90 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate Moscow highs of 17–18°C on August 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited daytime solar heating that suppress temperatures below the long-term August average near 22°C. Model consensus remains tight around these values, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any late clearing that could allow modest warming. Official guidance from agencies such as the UK Met Office currently projects a 17°C maximum, aligning with trader-implied probabilities clustering at 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations expected later on August 13 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,905End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate Moscow highs of 17–18°C on August 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited daytime solar heating that suppress temperatures below the long-term August average near 22°C. Model consensus remains tight around these values, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any late clearing that could allow modest warming. Official guidance from agencies such as the UK Met Office currently projects a 17°C maximum, aligning with trader-implied probabilities clustering at 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations expected later on August 13 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,905End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate Moscow highs of 17–18°C on August 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited daytime solar heating that suppress temperatures below the long-term August average near 22°C. Model consensus remains tight around these values, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any late clearing that could allow modest warming. Official guidance from agencies such as the UK Met Office currently projects a 17°C maximum, aligning with trader-implied probabilities clustering at 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations expected later on August 13 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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