Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a daily maximum near 30–31°C in Jinan on August 14, driven by lingering summer warmth offset by increasing cloud cover and thundershower activity. These conditions, typical of mid-August monsoon transitions in Shandong, limit peak heating while keeping values well above seasonal norms. Early August heatwaves exceeding 37–40°C in northern Jinan have given way to this moderated pattern, with model consensus showing modest cooling from precipitation. Trader positioning favoring 26°C or higher at 50% reflects the narrow uncertainty band around these official guidance values ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 14?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 14?
26°C or higher 97%
18°C 12%
19°C 12%
17°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
11%
18°C
12%
19°C
12%
20°C
11%
21°C
11%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
97%
26°C or higher 97%
18°C 12%
19°C 12%
17°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
$94 Vol.
1%
17°C
$94 Vol.
11%
18°C
$94 Vol.
12%
19°C
$94 Vol.
12%
20°C
$94 Vol.
11%
21°C
$94 Vol.
11%
22°C
$94 Vol.
1%
23°C
$94 Vol.
8%
24°C
$94 Vol.
7%
25°C
$57 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$16 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a daily maximum near 30–31°C in Jinan on August 14, driven by lingering summer warmth offset by increasing cloud cover and thundershower activity. These conditions, typical of mid-August monsoon transitions in Shandong, limit peak heating while keeping values well above seasonal norms. Early August heatwaves exceeding 37–40°C in northern Jinan have given way to this moderated pattern, with model consensus showing modest cooling from precipitation. Trader positioning favoring 26°C or higher at 50% reflects the narrow uncertainty band around these official guidance values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$919End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a daily maximum near 30–31°C in Jinan on August 14, driven by lingering summer warmth offset by increasing cloud cover and thundershower activity. These conditions, typical of mid-August monsoon transitions in Shandong, limit peak heating while keeping values well above seasonal norms. Early August heatwaves exceeding 37–40°C in northern Jinan have given way to this moderated pattern, with model consensus showing modest cooling from precipitation. Trader positioning favoring 26°C or higher at 50% reflects the narrow uncertainty band around these official guidance values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$919End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a daily maximum near 30–31°C in Jinan on August 14, driven by lingering summer warmth offset by increasing cloud cover and thundershower activity. These conditions, typical of mid-August monsoon transitions in Shandong, limit peak heating while keeping values well above seasonal norms. Early August heatwaves exceeding 37–40°C in northern Jinan have given way to this moderated pattern, with model consensus showing modest cooling from precipitation. Trader positioning favoring 26°C or higher at 50% reflects the narrow uncertainty band around these official guidance values ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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