**Trader consensus on 26°C or higher for Jinan’s highest temperature on August 13 reflects standard midsummer climatology in Shandong province, where August averages exceed 30°C and recent early-month heat warnings recorded peaks near 40°C.** Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological services project daytime maxima of 26–32°C under typical warm, humid conditions driven by subtropical high pressure. Historical analogs and model guidance show minimal risk of significant cooling on this date, keeping sub-26°C outcomes near zero probability. An anomalous cold front or rapid measurement revision could theoretically alter the outcome, but current atmospheric patterns and seasonal baselines make such shifts extremely unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 13?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 13?
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
16°C or below
$2,110 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$463 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$763 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$2,938 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on 26°C or higher for Jinan’s highest temperature on August 13 reflects standard midsummer climatology in Shandong province, where August averages exceed 30°C and recent early-month heat warnings recorded peaks near 40°C.** Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological services project daytime maxima of 26–32°C under typical warm, humid conditions driven by subtropical high pressure. Historical analogs and model guidance show minimal risk of significant cooling on this date, keeping sub-26°C outcomes near zero probability. An anomalous cold front or rapid measurement revision could theoretically alter the outcome, but current atmospheric patterns and seasonal baselines make such shifts extremely unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$7,937End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on 26°C or higher for Jinan’s highest temperature on August 13 reflects standard midsummer climatology in Shandong province, where August averages exceed 30°C and recent early-month heat warnings recorded peaks near 40°C.** Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological services project daytime maxima of 26–32°C under typical warm, humid conditions driven by subtropical high pressure. Historical analogs and model guidance show minimal risk of significant cooling on this date, keeping sub-26°C outcomes near zero probability. An anomalous cold front or rapid measurement revision could theoretically alter the outcome, but current atmospheric patterns and seasonal baselines make such shifts extremely unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,937End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on 26°C or higher for Jinan’s highest temperature on August 13 reflects standard midsummer climatology in Shandong province, where August averages exceed 30°C and recent early-month heat warnings recorded peaks near 40°C.** Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological services project daytime maxima of 26–32°C under typical warm, humid conditions driven by subtropical high pressure. Historical analogs and model guidance show minimal risk of significant cooling on this date, keeping sub-26°C outcomes near zero probability. An anomalous cold front or rapid measurement revision could theoretically alter the outcome, but current atmospheric patterns and seasonal baselines make such shifts extremely unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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