**The closely contested 50% market-implied probability for Livvy Dunne and Paul Skenes getting engaged in 2026 reflects their stable, high-profile relationship without any confirmed steps toward a proposal.** The couple, who went public in 2023 after meeting at LSU, continue appearing together at major events such as the July 2026 MLB All-Star red carpet, with Dunne frequently supporting Skenes at games and sharing positive updates on social media. No verified announcements, rings, or statements indicate imminent engagement, while both remain in their early 20s amid Skenes’ demanding Pirates schedule and Dunne’s influencer and post-gymnastics pursuits. Trader balance stems from the relationship’s momentum and fan expectations offset by the absence of concrete signals, typical for young celebrity couples where timing is unpredictable. Key upcoming catalysts include the end of the 2026 MLB season, offseason downtime, or any public hints from Dunne that could shift sentiment.