Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X drives the tight clustering of trader sentiment around the 180–259 tweet range for the August 7–14 window. Recent resolved markets show him sustaining 40-plus daily posts amid ongoing engagement with politics, Tesla and SpaceX updates, memes, and replies, creating a baseline expectation of sustained activity. The narrow spread among leading buckets reflects uncertainty over short-term variables such as breaking news cycles, company announcements, or personal schedule shifts that could push volume higher or trigger a quieter stretch. With the period beginning in days, any major platform development or external event remains the clearest swing factor traders are pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200-219 18%
180-199 17%
220-239 16%
240-259 15%
NEW
$33,513 Vol.
NEW
$33,513 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
2%
140-159
6%
160-179
10%
180-199
17%
200-219
18%
220-239
16%
240-259
15%
260-279
9%
280-299
6%
300-319
2%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 18%
180-199 17%
220-239 16%
240-259 15%
NEW
$33,513 Vol.
NEW
$33,513 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<20
$4,564 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$2,245 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$2,237 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$1,354 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$642 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$1,636 Vol.
1%
120-139
$1,115 Vol.
2%
140-159
$656 Vol.
6%
160-179
$565 Vol.
10%
180-199
$414 Vol.
17%
200-219
$770 Vol.
18%
220-239
$658 Vol.
16%
240-259
$558 Vol.
15%
260-279
$350 Vol.
9%
280-299
$423 Vol.
6%
300-319
$716 Vol.
2%
320-339
$816 Vol.
2%
340-359
$428 Vol.
1%
360-379
$57 Vol.
1%
380-399
$827 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$67 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$677 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$449 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$5,231 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$5,351 Vol.
<1%
500+
$707 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X drives the tight clustering of trader sentiment around the 180–259 tweet range for the August 7–14 window. Recent resolved markets show him sustaining 40-plus daily posts amid ongoing engagement with politics, Tesla and SpaceX updates, memes, and replies, creating a baseline expectation of sustained activity. The narrow spread among leading buckets reflects uncertainty over short-term variables such as breaking news cycles, company announcements, or personal schedule shifts that could push volume higher or trigger a quieter stretch. With the period beginning in days, any major platform development or external event remains the clearest swing factor traders are pricing.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$33,513End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X drives the tight clustering of trader sentiment around the 180–259 tweet range for the August 7–14 window. Recent resolved markets show him sustaining 40-plus daily posts amid ongoing engagement with politics, Tesla and SpaceX updates, memes, and replies, creating a baseline expectation of sustained activity. The narrow spread among leading buckets reflects uncertainty over short-term variables such as breaking news cycles, company announcements, or personal schedule shifts that could push volume higher or trigger a quieter stretch. With the period beginning in days, any major platform development or external event remains the clearest swing factor traders are pricing.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$33,513End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X drives the tight clustering of trader sentiment around the 180–259 tweet range for the August 7–14 window. Recent resolved markets show him sustaining 40-plus daily posts amid ongoing engagement with politics, Tesla and SpaceX updates, memes, and replies, creating a baseline expectation of sustained activity. The narrow spread among leading buckets reflects uncertainty over short-term variables such as breaking news cycles, company announcements, or personal schedule shifts that could push volume higher or trigger a quieter stretch. With the period beginning in days, any major platform development or external event remains the clearest swing factor traders are pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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