Several songs sit in a tight race for the Billboard Hot 100 #2 spot the week of August 15, with multiple contenders priced near 50% implied probability and Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me” edging the named field at 48.5%. Competitive dynamics hinge on streaming velocity, radio adds, and sales spikes during the current tracking period, as no single track has pulled decisively ahead in platform metrics or promotional momentum. Factors such as release timing, fan-driven streaming surges, and cross-genre competition from Taylor Swift, Morgan Wallen, Olivia Rodrigo, and Ella Langley create ongoing volatility. Traders will monitor midweek chart updates and final tracking data through the weekend for any late shifts before the chart locks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBillboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of August 15
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 55%
Petal - Ariana Grande 26%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 23%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo 20%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
55%
Petal - Ariana Grande
26%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
23%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
20%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
16%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
15%
Boston - Stella Lefty
8%
Be Her - Ella Langley
2%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 55%
Petal - Ariana Grande 26%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 23%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo 20%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
55%
Petal - Ariana Grande
26%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
23%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
20%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
16%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
15%
Boston - Stella Lefty
8%
Be Her - Ella Langley
2%
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 8:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled "Week of August 15, 2026". Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Several songs sit in a tight race for the Billboard Hot 100 #2 spot the week of August 15, with multiple contenders priced near 50% implied probability and Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me” edging the named field at 48.5%. Competitive dynamics hinge on streaming velocity, radio adds, and sales spikes during the current tracking period, as no single track has pulled decisively ahead in platform metrics or promotional momentum. Factors such as release timing, fan-driven streaming surges, and cross-genre competition from Taylor Swift, Morgan Wallen, Olivia Rodrigo, and Ella Langley create ongoing volatility. Traders will monitor midweek chart updates and final tracking data through the weekend for any late shifts before the chart locks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions