Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X forms the core driver behind the market’s emphasis on the 40-64 and 65-89 tweet ranges for August 6-8. Historical tracking shows daily averages often falling between 30 and 70 posts, with weekends typically lighter than peak weekdays when business or controversy spikes activity. Recent platform data through early August reinforces moderate output, reflecting routine engagement rather than sustained high-intensity periods. Traders weigh these baselines against the unpredictability of breaking news cycles or personal schedule shifts that could push totals higher or suppress them, creating the observed clustering around mid-range buckets while leaving room for variance in the final three-day tally.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 43%
65-89 29%
<40 19%
90-114 9%
NEW
$19,803 Vol.
NEW
$19,803 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
<40
19%
40-64
43%
65-89
29%
90-114
9%
115-139
2%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 43%
65-89 29%
<40 19%
90-114 9%
NEW
$19,803 Vol.
NEW
$19,803 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
<40
$2,650 Vol.
19%
40-64
$1,257 Vol.
43%
65-89
$452 Vol.
29%
90-114
$937 Vol.
9%
115-139
$2,257 Vol.
2%
140-164
$7,698 Vol.
1%
165-189
$563 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$288 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$1,771 Vol.
<1%
240+
$1,931 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X forms the core driver behind the market’s emphasis on the 40-64 and 65-89 tweet ranges for August 6-8. Historical tracking shows daily averages often falling between 30 and 70 posts, with weekends typically lighter than peak weekdays when business or controversy spikes activity. Recent platform data through early August reinforces moderate output, reflecting routine engagement rather than sustained high-intensity periods. Traders weigh these baselines against the unpredictability of breaking news cycles or personal schedule shifts that could push totals higher or suppress them, creating the observed clustering around mid-range buckets while leaving room for variance in the final three-day tally.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$19,803End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X forms the core driver behind the market’s emphasis on the 40-64 and 65-89 tweet ranges for August 6-8. Historical tracking shows daily averages often falling between 30 and 70 posts, with weekends typically lighter than peak weekdays when business or controversy spikes activity. Recent platform data through early August reinforces moderate output, reflecting routine engagement rather than sustained high-intensity periods. Traders weigh these baselines against the unpredictability of breaking news cycles or personal schedule shifts that could push totals higher or suppress them, creating the observed clustering around mid-range buckets while leaving room for variance in the final three-day tally.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$19,803End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X forms the core driver behind the market’s emphasis on the 40-64 and 65-89 tweet ranges for August 6-8. Historical tracking shows daily averages often falling between 30 and 70 posts, with weekends typically lighter than peak weekdays when business or controversy spikes activity. Recent platform data through early August reinforces moderate output, reflecting routine engagement rather than sustained high-intensity periods. Traders weigh these baselines against the unpredictability of breaking news cycles or personal schedule shifts that could push totals higher or suppress them, creating the observed clustering around mid-range buckets while leaving room for variance in the final three-day tally.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions