The recent announcement of America's Got Talent Season 21's Top 44 acts for the live shows has created a wide-open market for runner-up, with traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities across dozens of diverse contenders. This parity reflects the early stage of competition, where audience votes, judge feedback, and performance consistency in upcoming quarterfinals and semifinals will determine momentum. Acts range from acrobatic groups and novelty performers to singers and comedians, each bringing distinct strengths that could resonate differently with voters. Historical AGT patterns show late surges from strong finals-night deliveries or viral moments often decide placements, making the coming weeks' results key swing factors before any clear favorite emerges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAmerica's Got Talent S21: Runner-Up
Unitree 47%
Guy Kelton Jones I 27%
Herwan Legaillard 27%
Holland and Sienna 27%

Unitree
47%

Guy Kelton Jones I
27%

Herwan Legaillard
27%

Holland and Sienna
27%

Isaac Atkins
27%

Jesse Joe
27%

Jesse White Tumbling Team
27%

Kameron Marshall
27%

Lai Noelle
27%

Luke Taleno
27%

Mackenzie Sol
27%

Nene Royal
27%

Nyjah Music & Zyah Rhythm
27%

Olivia Befus
27%

Patrox
27%

Pynk Beard
27%

Royal Lasers
27%

Rubén Roldán Bustos
27%

Sando
27%

The CommUNITY ATL Choir
27%

Akira
27%

Ashford Sanders
27%

Brad and Tracy
27%

Brook Lynn
27%

Butter & Grit
27%

Cameron Logsdon
27%

Cesar Dias
27%

Come Here
27%

Cris Sosa
27%

Daniel Alvarez
27%

Elsie
27%

Geno Ploeger
27%

Travis Garland
27%

Tyrone and Margo
27%

Hundred Fingers
27%

ACRO Crew
27%

Bird & Byron
26%

Lara D
25%

LaRussell
24%

Veronika Goroshkova
17%

James & Marina
14%

Béty
10%

Young & Strange
9%
Unitree 47%
Guy Kelton Jones I 27%
Herwan Legaillard 27%
Holland and Sienna 27%

Unitree
47%

Guy Kelton Jones I
27%

Herwan Legaillard
27%

Holland and Sienna
27%

Isaac Atkins
27%

Jesse Joe
27%

Jesse White Tumbling Team
27%

Kameron Marshall
27%

Lai Noelle
27%

Luke Taleno
27%

Mackenzie Sol
27%

Nene Royal
27%

Nyjah Music & Zyah Rhythm
27%

Olivia Befus
27%

Patrox
27%

Pynk Beard
27%

Royal Lasers
27%

Rubén Roldán Bustos
27%

Sando
27%

The CommUNITY ATL Choir
27%

Akira
27%

Ashford Sanders
27%

Brad and Tracy
27%

Brook Lynn
27%

Butter & Grit
27%

Cameron Logsdon
27%

Cesar Dias
27%

Come Here
27%

Cris Sosa
27%

Daniel Alvarez
27%

Elsie
27%

Geno Ploeger
27%

Travis Garland
27%

Tyrone and Margo
27%

Hundred Fingers
27%

ACRO Crew
27%

Bird & Byron
26%

Lara D
25%

LaRussell
24%

Veronika Goroshkova
17%

James & Marina
14%

Béty
10%

Young & Strange
9%
Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The recent announcement of America's Got Talent Season 21's Top 44 acts for the live shows has created a wide-open market for runner-up, with traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities across dozens of diverse contenders. This parity reflects the early stage of competition, where audience votes, judge feedback, and performance consistency in upcoming quarterfinals and semifinals will determine momentum. Acts range from acrobatic groups and novelty performers to singers and comedians, each bringing distinct strengths that could resonate differently with voters. Historical AGT patterns show late surges from strong finals-night deliveries or viral moments often decide placements, making the coming weeks' results key swing factors before any clear favorite emerges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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