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icon for America's Got Talent S21: Winner

America's Got Talent S21: Winner

icon for America's Got Talent S21: Winner

America's Got Talent S21: Winner

Rubén Roldán Bustos 50%

Béty 49%

Bird & Byron 49%

Butter & Grit 49%

Polymarket
NEW

Rubén Roldán Bustos 50%

Béty 49%

Bird & Byron 49%

Butter & Grit 49%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Rubén Roldán Bustos

Rubén Roldán Bustos

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Béty

Béty

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Bird & Byron

Bird & Byron

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Butter & Grit

Butter & Grit

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Cameron Logsdon

Cameron Logsdon

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Come Here

Come Here

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Cris Sosa

Cris Sosa

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Daniel Alvarez

Daniel Alvarez

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Elsie

Elsie

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Guy Kelton Jones I

Guy Kelton Jones I

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Holland and Sienna

Holland and Sienna

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Hundred Fingers

Hundred Fingers

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Isaac Atkins

Isaac Atkins

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for James & Marina

James & Marina

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Jesse Joe

Jesse Joe

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Jesse White Tumbling Team

Jesse White Tumbling Team

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Kameron Marshall

Kameron Marshall

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Lai Noelle

Lai Noelle

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Lara D

Lara D

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Luke Taleno

Luke Taleno

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Mackenzie Sol

Mackenzie Sol

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Nene Royal

Nene Royal

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Olivia Befus

Olivia Befus

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Patrox

Patrox

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Royal Lasers

Royal Lasers

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Sando

Sando

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for The CommUNITY ATL Choir

The CommUNITY ATL Choir

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Travis Garland

Travis Garland

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Unitree

Unitree

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Young & Strange

Young & Strange

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for LaRussell

LaRussell

$0 Vol.

48%

icon for Brad and Tracy

Brad and Tracy

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Nyjah Music & Zyah Rhythm

Nyjah Music & Zyah Rhythm

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Cesar Dias

Cesar Dias

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Geno Ploeger

Geno Ploeger

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Herwan Legaillard

Herwan Legaillard

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Pynk Beard

Pynk Beard

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Veronika Goroshkova

Veronika Goroshkova

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Ashford Sanders

Ashford Sanders

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for ACRO Crew

ACRO Crew

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Akira

Akira

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Tyrone and Margo

Tyrone and Margo

$0 Vol.

16%

icon for Brook Lynn

Brook Lynn

$0 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.With live quarterfinals for America's Got Talent Season 21 set to begin August 18, the wide-open field of 44 acts has produced closely matched market-implied odds around 50 percent, reflecting the absence of performance data to separate contenders. Recent announcement of the Top 44 following auditions and callbacks has leveled the competition, as judges including Simon Cowell and Sofía Vergara have yet to deliver live feedback or Golden Buzzer impacts in this phase. Historical voting patterns favor acts that build momentum through quarterfinal and semifinal rounds via audience engagement and polished routines, making early differentiation difficult until chart-topping vocals, acrobatics, or comedy land with voters. Traders are monitoring the August 18–September schedule for initial breakthroughs that could shift consensus ahead of the September 22–23 finale.

This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.

Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
Volume
$0
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.With live quarterfinals for America's Got Talent Season 21 set to begin August 18, the wide-open field of 44 acts has produced closely matched market-implied odds around 50 percent, reflecting the absence of performance data to separate contenders. Recent announcement of the Top 44 following auditions and callbacks has leveled the competition, as judges including Simon Cowell and Sofía Vergara have yet to deliver live feedback or Golden Buzzer impacts in this phase. Historical voting patterns favor acts that build momentum through quarterfinal and semifinal rounds via audience engagement and polished routines, making early differentiation difficult until chart-topping vocals, acrobatics, or comedy land with voters. Traders are monitoring the August 18–September schedule for initial breakthroughs that could shift consensus ahead of the September 22–23 finale.

This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.

Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
Volume
$0
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"America's Got Talent S21: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rubén Roldán Bustos" at 50%, followed by "Béty" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"America's Got Talent S21: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "America's Got Talent S21: Winner," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "America's Got Talent S21: Winner" is "Rubén Roldán Bustos" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Béty" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "America's Got Talent S21: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.