**Don't Say Good Luck** leads trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to its August 14 Netflix premiere and strong pre-release buzz as a Happy Madison dramedy starring Sunny Sandler. Early reviews praise its heartfelt mother-daughter story and mainstream appeal, positioning the Adam Sandler-produced title for a high debut that could secure the #2 global ranking behind frontrunner *The Last House*. Recent chart data shows *72 Hours* (Kevin Hart comedy out since late July) holding steady but fading at 26%, while older catalog titles like *Spider-Man: Far from Home* and *Minions* linger lower. Traders are pricing in the typical Netflix pattern where fresh originals surge on launch weekend, with guild and critic momentum reinforcing expectations for this week's performance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Don't Say Good Luck 49%
72 Hours 31%
The Last House 12%
In the Land of Saints and Sinners 2.0%

Don't Say Good Luck
49%

72 Hours
31%

The Last House
12%

In the Land of Saints and Sinners
2%

Minions
2%

Spider-Man: Far from Home
20%
Don't Say Good Luck 49%
72 Hours 31%
The Last House 12%
In the Land of Saints and Sinners 2.0%

Don't Say Good Luck
49%

72 Hours
31%

The Last House
12%

In the Land of Saints and Sinners
2%

Minions
2%

Spider-Man: Far from Home
20%
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Don't Say Good Luck** leads trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to its August 14 Netflix premiere and strong pre-release buzz as a Happy Madison dramedy starring Sunny Sandler. Early reviews praise its heartfelt mother-daughter story and mainstream appeal, positioning the Adam Sandler-produced title for a high debut that could secure the #2 global ranking behind frontrunner *The Last House*. Recent chart data shows *72 Hours* (Kevin Hart comedy out since late July) holding steady but fading at 26%, while older catalog titles like *Spider-Man: Far from Home* and *Minions* linger lower. Traders are pricing in the typical Netflix pattern where fresh originals surge on launch weekend, with guild and critic momentum reinforcing expectations for this week's performance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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