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What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Aug 18

Aug 18

Don't Say Good Luck 49%

72 Hours 31%

The Last House 12%

In the Land of Saints and Sinners 2.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Don't Say Good Luck 49%

72 Hours 31%

The Last House 12%

In the Land of Saints and Sinners 2.0%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Don't Say Good Luck

Don't Say Good Luck

$358 Vol.

49%

icon for 72 Hours

72 Hours

$0 Vol.

31%

icon for The Last House

The Last House

$0 Vol.

12%

icon for In the Land of Saints and Sinners

In the Land of Saints and Sinners

$1,037 Vol.

2%

icon for Minions

Minions

$682 Vol.

2%

icon for Spider-Man: Far from Home

Spider-Man: Far from Home

$113 Vol.

20%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".**Don't Say Good Luck** leads trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to its August 14 Netflix premiere and strong pre-release buzz as a Happy Madison dramedy starring Sunny Sandler. Early reviews praise its heartfelt mother-daughter story and mainstream appeal, positioning the Adam Sandler-produced title for a high debut that could secure the #2 global ranking behind frontrunner *The Last House*. Recent chart data shows *72 Hours* (Kevin Hart comedy out since late July) holding steady but fading at 26%, while older catalog titles like *Spider-Man: Far from Home* and *Minions* linger lower. Traders are pricing in the typical Netflix pattern where fresh originals surge on launch weekend, with guild and critic momentum reinforcing expectations for this week's performance.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,190
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".**Don't Say Good Luck** leads trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to its August 14 Netflix premiere and strong pre-release buzz as a Happy Madison dramedy starring Sunny Sandler. Early reviews praise its heartfelt mother-daughter story and mainstream appeal, positioning the Adam Sandler-produced title for a high debut that could secure the #2 global ranking behind frontrunner *The Last House*. Recent chart data shows *72 Hours* (Kevin Hart comedy out since late July) holding steady but fading at 26%, while older catalog titles like *Spider-Man: Far from Home* and *Minions* linger lower. Traders are pricing in the typical Netflix pattern where fresh originals surge on launch weekend, with guild and critic momentum reinforcing expectations for this week's performance.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,190
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Don't Say Good Luck" at 49%, followed by "72 Hours" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is "Don't Say Good Luck" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "72 Hours" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.