With the 2026 film season just underway, trader sentiment for the Oscars 2027 Best Supporting Actor market remains evenly balanced around 50% implied probability across dozens of names. No frontrunner has emerged because most eligible performances have yet to screen, and early guild or critics' awards are months away. Historical patterns show that Supporting Actor races often hinge on late-year releases, SAG-AFTRA nominations, and strong ensemble buzz rather than early summer tracking. Differentiating factors will likely include critical reception at fall festivals, box-office momentum for supporting turns, and peer voting trends within the actors' branch. The wide field underscores the inherent unpredictability until precursor results begin clarifying voter preferences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 50%
Robert Pattinson 50%
John Goodman 50%
Steve Buscemi 50%
NEW
NEW
Mar 14, 2027
Paul Giamatti
50%
Robert Pattinson
50%
John Goodman
50%
Steve Buscemi
50%
Jesse Plemons
50%
Robert De Niro
50%
Edward Norton
49%
Colman Domingo
49%
Jeremy Strong
49%
Riz Ahmed
49%
Michael Fassbender
49%
Charles Melton
49%
Miles Teller
49%
James Ortiz
49%
Himesh Patel
49%
Daniel Craig
49%
Channing Tatum
49%
Adam Scott
49%
Tom Holland
48%
Sam Rockwell
48%
Travis Scott
45%
Paul Giamatti 50%
Robert Pattinson 50%
John Goodman 50%
Steve Buscemi 50%
NEW
NEW
Mar 14, 2027
Paul Giamatti
$0 Vol.
50%
Robert Pattinson
$0 Vol.
50%
John Goodman
$0 Vol.
50%
Steve Buscemi
$0 Vol.
50%
Jesse Plemons
$0 Vol.
50%
Robert De Niro
$0 Vol.
50%
Edward Norton
$0 Vol.
49%
Colman Domingo
$0 Vol.
49%
Jeremy Strong
$0 Vol.
49%
Riz Ahmed
$0 Vol.
49%
Michael Fassbender
$0 Vol.
49%
Charles Melton
$0 Vol.
49%
Miles Teller
$0 Vol.
49%
James Ortiz
$0 Vol.
49%
Himesh Patel
$0 Vol.
49%
Daniel Craig
$0 Vol.
49%
Channing Tatum
$0 Vol.
49%
Adam Scott
$0 Vol.
49%
Tom Holland
$0 Vol.
48%
Sam Rockwell
$0 Vol.
48%
Travis Scott
$0 Vol.
45%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 film season just underway, trader sentiment for the Oscars 2027 Best Supporting Actor market remains evenly balanced around 50% implied probability across dozens of names. No frontrunner has emerged because most eligible performances have yet to screen, and early guild or critics' awards are months away. Historical patterns show that Supporting Actor races often hinge on late-year releases, SAG-AFTRA nominations, and strong ensemble buzz rather than early summer tracking. Differentiating factors will likely include critical reception at fall festivals, box-office momentum for supporting turns, and peer voting trends within the actors' branch. The wide field underscores the inherent unpredictability until precursor results begin clarifying voter preferences.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 film season just underway, trader sentiment for the Oscars 2027 Best Supporting Actor market remains evenly balanced around 50% implied probability across dozens of names. No frontrunner has emerged because most eligible performances have yet to screen, and early guild or critics' awards are months away. Historical patterns show that Supporting Actor races often hinge on late-year releases, SAG-AFTRA nominations, and strong ensemble buzz rather than early summer tracking. Differentiating factors will likely include critical reception at fall festivals, box-office momentum for supporting turns, and peer voting trends within the actors' branch. The wide field underscores the inherent unpredictability until precursor results begin clarifying voter preferences.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2026 film season just underway, trader sentiment for the Oscars 2027 Best Supporting Actor market remains evenly balanced around 50% implied probability across dozens of names. No frontrunner has emerged because most eligible performances have yet to screen, and early guild or critics' awards are months away. Historical patterns show that Supporting Actor races often hinge on late-year releases, SAG-AFTRA nominations, and strong ensemble buzz rather than early summer tracking. Differentiating factors will likely include critical reception at fall festivals, box-office momentum for supporting turns, and peer voting trends within the actors' branch. The wide field underscores the inherent unpredictability until precursor results begin clarifying voter preferences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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