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icon for Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner

Penélope Cruz 22%

Anne Hathaway 15%

Parker Posey 8%

Sandra Hüller 8%

Polymarket
NEW

Penélope Cruz 22%

Anne Hathaway 15%

Parker Posey 8%

Sandra Hüller 8%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Penélope Cruz

Penélope Cruz

$126 Vol.

22%

icon for Anne Hathaway

Anne Hathaway

$21 Vol.

15%

icon for Parker Posey

Parker Posey

$0 Vol.

8%

icon for Sandra Hüller

Sandra Hüller

$0 Vol.

8%

icon for Margaret Qualley

Margaret Qualley

$131 Vol.

7%

icon for Betty Gilpin

Betty Gilpin

$131 Vol.

7%

icon for Tao Okamoto

Tao Okamoto

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Isabella Rossellini

Isabella Rossellini

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Inde Navarrette

Inde Navarrette

$131 Vol.

7%

icon for Zendaya

Zendaya

$131 Vol.

7%

icon for Danielle Deadwyler

Danielle Deadwyler

$106 Vol.

7%

icon for Gemma Chan

Gemma Chan

$41 Vol.

6%

icon for Mariana di Girolamo

Mariana di Girolamo

$0 Vol.

6%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early buzz for the 2027 Oscars Best Supporting Actress race centers on high-profile 2026 releases still months from wide release or festival premieres, leaving the field wide open with no dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus places Anne Hathaway (The Odyssey) at the top among named contenders due to Christopher Nolan’s track record and her star power, though a lead-versus-supporting campaign decision remains unresolved. Sandra Hüller, Penélope Cruz, Parker Posey, Mariana di Girolamo, and Inde Navarrette follow in early predictor lists tied to projects like Wild Horse Nine and Obsession. With guild and critics’ awards far off, market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around box-office trajectories, critical reception, and category placement rather than proven momentum.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$818
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early buzz for the 2027 Oscars Best Supporting Actress race centers on high-profile 2026 releases still months from wide release or festival premieres, leaving the field wide open with no dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus places Anne Hathaway (The Odyssey) at the top among named contenders due to Christopher Nolan’s track record and her star power, though a lead-versus-supporting campaign decision remains unresolved. Sandra Hüller, Penélope Cruz, Parker Posey, Mariana di Girolamo, and Inde Navarrette follow in early predictor lists tied to projects like Wild Horse Nine and Obsession. With guild and critics’ awards far off, market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around box-office trajectories, critical reception, and category placement rather than proven momentum.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$818
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Penélope Cruz" at 22%, followed by "Anne Hathaway" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner" is "Penélope Cruz" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Anne Hathaway" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.