With all listed contenders clustered near 50% implied probability, the Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market reflects an extremely early and fluid stage in the cycle. Most 2026 releases have yet to screen widely, leaving traders without clear signals from critical reception, festival premieres, or guild momentum. Original screenplay races historically reward timely year-end releases that generate strong Writers Guild buzz and critics’ circle support, yet no project has built a discernible narrative lead. Upcoming fall festivals and late-2026 reviews will likely create the first meaningful separations, as Academy voters weigh originality, cultural resonance, and campaign strength in a wide-open field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 51%
Fjord 51%
Digger 51%
Obsession 51%
NEW
NEW
Mar 14, 2027
Wild Horse Nine
51%
Fjord
51%
Digger
51%
Obsession
51%
Club Kid
51%
Fatherland
51%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
51%
The Drama
51%
Josephine
51%
The Black Ball
51%
The Invite
51%
A Place in Hell
51%
The Odyssey
51%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
51%
The Debut
51%
Elsinore
51%
Forgotten Island
50%
Wild Horse Nine 51%
Fjord 51%
Digger 51%
Obsession 51%
NEW
NEW
Mar 14, 2027
Wild Horse Nine
$0 Vol.
51%
Fjord
$0 Vol.
51%
Digger
$0 Vol.
51%
Obsession
$0 Vol.
51%
Club Kid
$0 Vol.
51%
Fatherland
$0 Vol.
51%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$0 Vol.
51%
The Drama
$0 Vol.
51%
Josephine
$0 Vol.
51%
The Black Ball
$0 Vol.
51%
The Invite
$0 Vol.
51%
A Place in Hell
$0 Vol.
51%
The Odyssey
$0 Vol.
51%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$0 Vol.
51%
The Debut
$0 Vol.
51%
Elsinore
$0 Vol.
51%
Forgotten Island
$0 Vol.
50%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With all listed contenders clustered near 50% implied probability, the Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market reflects an extremely early and fluid stage in the cycle. Most 2026 releases have yet to screen widely, leaving traders without clear signals from critical reception, festival premieres, or guild momentum. Original screenplay races historically reward timely year-end releases that generate strong Writers Guild buzz and critics’ circle support, yet no project has built a discernible narrative lead. Upcoming fall festivals and late-2026 reviews will likely create the first meaningful separations, as Academy voters weigh originality, cultural resonance, and campaign strength in a wide-open field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With all listed contenders clustered near 50% implied probability, the Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market reflects an extremely early and fluid stage in the cycle. Most 2026 releases have yet to screen widely, leaving traders without clear signals from critical reception, festival premieres, or guild momentum. Original screenplay races historically reward timely year-end releases that generate strong Writers Guild buzz and critics’ circle support, yet no project has built a discernible narrative lead. Upcoming fall festivals and late-2026 reviews will likely create the first meaningful separations, as Academy voters weigh originality, cultural resonance, and campaign strength in a wide-open field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With all listed contenders clustered near 50% implied probability, the Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market reflects an extremely early and fluid stage in the cycle. Most 2026 releases have yet to screen widely, leaving traders without clear signals from critical reception, festival premieres, or guild momentum. Original screenplay races historically reward timely year-end releases that generate strong Writers Guild buzz and critics’ circle support, yet no project has built a discernible narrative lead. Upcoming fall festivals and late-2026 reviews will likely create the first meaningful separations, as Academy voters weigh originality, cultural resonance, and campaign strength in a wide-open field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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