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icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Aug 18

Aug 18

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 37%

Tires: Season 3 31%

Mourinho: Season 1 29.3%

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 8%

Polymarket
NEW

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 37%

Tires: Season 3 31%

Mourinho: Season 1 29.3%

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 8%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

$552 Vol.

41%

icon for Tires: Season 3

Tires: Season 3

$10 Vol.

31%

icon for Mourinho: Season 1

Mourinho: Season 1

$1,024 Vol.

29%

icon for The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

$440 Vol.

8%

icon for The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

$126 Vol.

2%

icon for My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

$20 Vol.

32%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With multiple titles clustered near 50% implied probability, trader sentiment reflects intense competition for Netflix's second-highest U.S. viewership slot this week. The recent August 12 debut of Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes, a three-part documentary drawing on unreleased prison recordings, has lifted its odds to 41% by capitalizing on true-crime momentum and immediate platform visibility. My Life With the Walter Boys Season 3, which dropped August 8 and continues its YA romance storyline amid family drama, sits at 33.5% as ongoing binge interest competes with fresher releases. Additional contenders such as Tires Season 3 and the limited series The Bombing of Pan Am 103 trail further behind, underscoring how release timing, genre appeal, and early viewing metrics are shaping the crowded field ahead of the next chart update.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,172
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With multiple titles clustered near 50% implied probability, trader sentiment reflects intense competition for Netflix's second-highest U.S. viewership slot this week. The recent August 12 debut of Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes, a three-part documentary drawing on unreleased prison recordings, has lifted its odds to 41% by capitalizing on true-crime momentum and immediate platform visibility. My Life With the Walter Boys Season 3, which dropped August 8 and continues its YA romance storyline amid family drama, sits at 33.5% as ongoing binge interest competes with fresher releases. Additional contenders such as Tires Season 3 and the limited series The Bombing of Pan Am 103 trail further behind, underscoring how release timing, genre appeal, and early viewing metrics are shaping the crowded field ahead of the next chart update.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,172
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

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icon for Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

45%
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Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" at 41%, followed by "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.