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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Aug 18

Aug 18

The Last House 96.5%

Don't Say Good Luck 2.4%

72 Hours 1.2%

Spider-Man: Far from Home 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

The Last House 96.5%

Don't Say Good Luck 2.4%

72 Hours 1.2%

Spider-Man: Far from Home 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for The Last House

The Last House

$1,960 Vol.

97%

icon for Don't Say Good Luck

Don't Say Good Luck

$29 Vol.

2%

icon for 72 Hours

72 Hours

$167 Vol.

1%

icon for Spider-Man: Far from Home

Spider-Man: Far from Home

$132 Vol.

1%

icon for Minions

Minions

$102 Vol.

1%

icon for In the Land of Saints and Sinners

In the Land of Saints and Sinners

$97 Vol.

1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Last House rocketed to the top of the US Netflix chart following its August 7 release, posting 27.5 million views in its opening weekend—the fifth-strongest debut for a Netflix original this year—and holding the No. 1 spot into mid-August. Strong marketing around its contained sci-fi thriller premise, led by Greta Lee and Wagner Moura under director Louis Leterrier, combined with solid initial engagement metrics, has solidified trader confidence in its continued dominance. Older catalog titles and recent lower-profile additions lack comparable momentum. An upset would require a major new release or sharp viewership drop-off in the coming days before the weekly chart locks.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,487
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Last House rocketed to the top of the US Netflix chart following its August 7 release, posting 27.5 million views in its opening weekend—the fifth-strongest debut for a Netflix original this year—and holding the No. 1 spot into mid-August. Strong marketing around its contained sci-fi thriller premise, led by Greta Lee and Wagner Moura under director Louis Leterrier, combined with solid initial engagement metrics, has solidified trader confidence in its continued dominance. Older catalog titles and recent lower-profile additions lack comparable momentum. An upset would require a major new release or sharp viewership drop-off in the coming days before the weekly chart locks.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,487
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Last House" at 97%, followed by "Don't Say Good Luck" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "The Last House" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Don't Say Good Luck" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.