Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and rapid climb past $449 million in its first week have anchored trader sentiment around the 900–1,020 million range for the total through August 31. Strong critical reception, front-loaded summer release timing, and proven franchise appeal support continued robust holds, while historical Marvel legs and potential competition from late-August releases introduce modest downside risk below 900 million. With roughly three and a half weeks of playtime remaining, the market’s tight clustering around the mid-900s to low-1,000s reflects uncertainty over how far the film’s early momentum will carry before audience fatigue or rival titles cap its run.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
1000 - 1020m 44%
900 - 920m 43%
920 - 940m 43%
960 - 980m 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<900m
40%
900 - 920m
43%
920 - 940m
43%
940 - 960m
36%
960 - 980m
43%
980 - 1000m
40%
1000 - 1020m
44%
1020 - 1040m
42%
1040 - 1060m
40%
1060 - 1080m
24%
1080m+
26%
1000 - 1020m 44%
900 - 920m 43%
920 - 940m 43%
960 - 980m 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<900m
$0 Vol.
40%
900 - 920m
$0 Vol.
43%
920 - 940m
$0 Vol.
43%
940 - 960m
$0 Vol.
36%
960 - 980m
$0 Vol.
43%
980 - 1000m
$0 Vol.
40%
1000 - 1020m
$0 Vol.
44%
1020 - 1040m
$0 Vol.
42%
1040 - 1060m
$0 Vol.
40%
1060 - 1080m
$0 Vol.
24%
1080m+
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and rapid climb past $449 million in its first week have anchored trader sentiment around the 900–1,020 million range for the total through August 31. Strong critical reception, front-loaded summer release timing, and proven franchise appeal support continued robust holds, while historical Marvel legs and potential competition from late-August releases introduce modest downside risk below 900 million. With roughly three and a half weeks of playtime remaining, the market’s tight clustering around the mid-900s to low-1,000s reflects uncertainty over how far the film’s early momentum will carry before audience fatigue or rival titles cap its run.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and rapid climb past $449 million in its first week have anchored trader sentiment around the 900–1,020 million range for the total through August 31. Strong critical reception, front-loaded summer release timing, and proven franchise appeal support continued robust holds, while historical Marvel legs and potential competition from late-August releases introduce modest downside risk below 900 million. With roughly three and a half weeks of playtime remaining, the market’s tight clustering around the mid-900s to low-1,000s reflects uncertainty over how far the film’s early momentum will carry before audience fatigue or rival titles cap its run.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and rapid climb past $449 million in its first week have anchored trader sentiment around the 900–1,020 million range for the total through August 31. Strong critical reception, front-loaded summer release timing, and proven franchise appeal support continued robust holds, while historical Marvel legs and potential competition from late-August releases introduce modest downside risk below 900 million. With roughly three and a half weeks of playtime remaining, the market’s tight clustering around the mid-900s to low-1,000s reflects uncertainty over how far the film’s early momentum will carry before audience fatigue or rival titles cap its run.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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