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icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Aug 11

Aug 11

The Last House 44%

72 Hours 36%

Ordinary Angels 5.5%

Five Nights at Freddy's 2 5.5%

Polymarket
NEW

The Last House 44%

72 Hours 36%

Ordinary Angels 5.5%

Five Nights at Freddy's 2 5.5%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for The Last House

The Last House

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for 72 Hours

72 Hours

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Ordinary Angels

Ordinary Angels

$73 Vol.

5%

icon for Five Nights at Freddy's 2

Five Nights at Freddy's 2

$99 Vol.

5%

icon for Elize: Shadows of a Woman

Elize: Shadows of a Woman

$97 Vol.

5%

icon for A Quiet Place: Day One

A Quiet Place: Day One

$133 Vol.

3%

icon for The Debt Collector

The Debt Collector

$128 Vol.

3%

icon for Spider-Man: Homecoming

Spider-Man: Homecoming

$128 Vol.

3%

icon for Terry McMillan Presents: His, Hers & Ours

Terry McMillan Presents: His, Hers & Ours

$91 Vol.

2%

icon for A Toxic Love Story

A Toxic Love Story

$60 Vol.

2%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With 72 Hours and The Last House trading near parity in implied probability, trader sentiment reflects tight competition between a two-week-old Kevin Hart comedy and an incoming sci-fi thriller. 72 Hours benefits from established streaming momentum and broad comedic appeal since its July 24 debut, though mixed critical reception may cap its ceiling. The Last House, arriving August 7 with Greta Lee and Wagner Moura under Louis Leterrier’s direction, draws pre-release buzz typical of high-concept Netflix originals timed for weekend viewing spikes. Genre contrast, star draw, and the weekly chart reset create the deadlock, with viewership data from the next few days likely deciding the outcome.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$809
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With 72 Hours and The Last House trading near parity in implied probability, trader sentiment reflects tight competition between a two-week-old Kevin Hart comedy and an incoming sci-fi thriller. 72 Hours benefits from established streaming momentum and broad comedic appeal since its July 24 debut, though mixed critical reception may cap its ceiling. The Last House, arriving August 7 with Greta Lee and Wagner Moura under Louis Leterrier’s direction, draws pre-release buzz typical of high-concept Netflix originals timed for weekend viewing spikes. Genre contrast, star draw, and the weekly chart reset create the deadlock, with viewership data from the next few days likely deciding the outcome.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$809
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

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Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

52%
icon for Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

70%
icon for Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 10 million views this week?

Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 10 million views this week?

96%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Last House" at 44%, followed by "72 Hours" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "The Last House" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "72 Hours" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.