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icon for How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

icon for How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

Aug 11

Aug 11

NEW
Aug 11, 2026
Polymarket

$301 Vol.

Polymarket

10M+

$301 Vol.

96%

15M+

$0 Vol.

57%

20M+

$0 Vol.

51%

25M+

$0 Vol.

48%

30M+

$0 Vol.

7%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Netflix’s weekly Top 10 data, refreshed every Tuesday, shows the #1 movie typically lands between 20-40 million views depending on new release timing and genre momentum. Action originals and family animations like the current leader “72 HOURS” at 25.1 million views for July 27–August 2 often surge early in their run before tapering. Traders watch for August originals such as the sci-fi thriller “The Last House” and the musical “Don’t Say Good Luck,” which could displace the frontrunner and reset view counts. Algorithm promotion, marketing spend, and competition from theatrical holdovers or other streamers further shape performance, with historical half-year reports confirming top titles can exceed 100 million cumulative views when momentum builds quickly.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

This market will not consider hours viewed.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$301
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Netflix’s weekly Top 10 data, refreshed every Tuesday, shows the #1 movie typically lands between 20-40 million views depending on new release timing and genre momentum. Action originals and family animations like the current leader “72 HOURS” at 25.1 million views for July 27–August 2 often surge early in their run before tapering. Traders watch for August originals such as the sci-fi thriller “The Last House” and the musical “Don’t Say Good Luck,” which could displace the frontrunner and reset view counts. Algorithm promotion, marketing spend, and competition from theatrical holdovers or other streamers further shape performance, with historical half-year reports confirming top titles can exceed 100 million cumulative views when momentum builds quickly.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

This market will not consider hours viewed.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$301
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

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Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

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icon for Will "The Last House" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Will "The Last House" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

44%
icon for Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "10M+" at 96%, followed by "15M+" at 57%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?" is "10M+" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "15M+" at 57%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.