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icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Aug 11

Aug 11

72 Hours 51%

The Last House 30%

Terry McMillan Presents: His, Hers & Ours 8%

Five Nights at Freddy's 2 6%

Polymarket
NEW

72 Hours 51%

The Last House 30%

Terry McMillan Presents: His, Hers & Ours 8%

Five Nights at Freddy's 2 6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for 72 Hours

72 Hours

$0 Vol.

51%

icon for The Last House

The Last House

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for Terry McMillan Presents: His, Hers & Ours

Terry McMillan Presents: His, Hers & Ours

$165 Vol.

8%

icon for Five Nights at Freddy's 2

Five Nights at Freddy's 2

$113 Vol.

6%

icon for A Toxic Love Story

A Toxic Love Story

$113 Vol.

5%

icon for Spider-Man: Homecoming

Spider-Man: Homecoming

$119 Vol.

5%

icon for Ordinary Angels

Ordinary Angels

$75 Vol.

4%

icon for The Debt Collector

The Debt Collector

$129 Vol.

4%

icon for A Quiet Place: Day One

A Quiet Place: Day One

$118 Vol.

4%

icon for Elize: Shadows of a Woman

Elize: Shadows of a Woman

$174 Vol.

3%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Close competition defines the #2 US Netflix movie market this week, with 72 Hours holding a slight edge at 52.5% implied probability amid several titles clustered near 50%. Fresh August 2026 releases such as A Toxic Love Story and The Last House are generating early streaming momentum and chart gains, while holdovers like Ordinary Angels and Elize: Shadows of a Woman benefit from sustained viewer retention. Newer theatrical-to-streaming titles including Five Nights at Freddy's 2 and A Quiet Place: Day One face steeper barriers due to shorter runtimes on the platform so far. Traders are watching daily top-10 updates and weekend viewing spikes, as quick shifts in algorithmic promotion or audience scores could reorder the rankings before the weekly close.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,006
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Close competition defines the #2 US Netflix movie market this week, with 72 Hours holding a slight edge at 52.5% implied probability amid several titles clustered near 50%. Fresh August 2026 releases such as A Toxic Love Story and The Last House are generating early streaming momentum and chart gains, while holdovers like Ordinary Angels and Elize: Shadows of a Woman benefit from sustained viewer retention. Newer theatrical-to-streaming titles including Five Nights at Freddy's 2 and A Quiet Place: Day One face steeper barriers due to shorter runtimes on the platform so far. Traders are watching daily top-10 updates and weekend viewing spikes, as quick shifts in algorithmic promotion or audience scores could reorder the rankings before the weekly close.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,006
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "72 Hours" at 52%, followed by "The Last House" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "72 Hours" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Last House" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.