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icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Aug 11

Aug 11

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 50%

My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3 40%

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series 28.9%

Alley Cats: Season 1 7%

Polymarket
NEW

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 50%

My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3 40%

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series 28.9%

Alley Cats: Season 1 7%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3

My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

$72 Vol.

29%

icon for Alley Cats: Season 1

Alley Cats: Season 1

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Our Sticky Love: Limited Series

Our Sticky Love: Limited Series

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Let's Marry Harry: Season 1

Let's Marry Harry: Season 1

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for My Daughter's Father: Season 1

My Daughter's Father: Season 1

$136 Vol.

4%

icon for The Hawk: Season 1

The Hawk: Season 1

$137 Vol.

3%

icon for Ransom Canyon: Season 2

Ransom Canyon: Season 2

$128 Vol.

2%

icon for I Will Find You: Limited Series

I Will Find You: Limited Series

$177 Vol.

2%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare leads recent Netflix charts following its late-July premiere, capitalizing on true-crime momentum and strong initial viewership for its three-episode format drawn from bodycam footage and interviews. This positions the limited series as the frontrunner in a tightly contested weekly top-show market, where trader sentiment reflects its early dominance over longer-running titles like Ransom Canyon. My Life with the Walter Boys Season 3 and other new arrivals such as Alley Cats or Our Sticky Love remain in play but trail on current metrics, with upcoming chart updates and any late-August releases serving as key swing factors. The 48.5% implied probability for the Idaho title underscores competitive dynamics driven by release timing and genre appeal rather than established streaks.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$650
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare leads recent Netflix charts following its late-July premiere, capitalizing on true-crime momentum and strong initial viewership for its three-episode format drawn from bodycam footage and interviews. This positions the limited series as the frontrunner in a tightly contested weekly top-show market, where trader sentiment reflects its early dominance over longer-running titles like Ransom Canyon. My Life with the Walter Boys Season 3 and other new arrivals such as Alley Cats or Our Sticky Love remain in play but trail on current metrics, with upcoming chart updates and any late-August releases serving as key swing factors. The 48.5% implied probability for the Idaho title underscores competitive dynamics driven by release timing and genre appeal rather than established streaks.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$650
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

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Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

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icon for Will "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Will "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

44%
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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" at 51%, followed by "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.