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icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Aug 18

Aug 18

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 86%

Tires: Season 3 11%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 7%

Mourinho: Season 1 6.6%

Polymarket
NEW

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 86%

Tires: Season 3 11%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 7%

Mourinho: Season 1 6.6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

$3,573 Vol.

86%

icon for Tires: Season 3

Tires: Season 3

$200 Vol.

22%

icon for Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Mourinho: Season 1

Mourinho: Season 1

$113 Vol.

7%

icon for The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

$35 Vol.

6%

icon for The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

$299 Vol.

3%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".My Life with the Walter Boys Season 3 leads trader sentiment after its August 6 premiere, capitalizing on strong initial streaming momentum and established YA romance fan engagement that has propelled it into Netflix's US top 10 rankings. Recent chart performance and early viewership data underscore its frontrunner position at 68% implied probability, outpacing longer-running titles amid weekly fluctuations in audience demand. Contenders including Show A through Show G sit near even odds at 50%, reflecting uncertainty over which series might surge with new episodes or algorithmic boosts, while limited series like The Bombing of Pan Am 103 and true-crime entries trail at lower probabilities due to narrower appeal and established competition. Traders are watching midweek updates for any late momentum shifts before the period closes.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$4,220
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".My Life with the Walter Boys Season 3 leads trader sentiment after its August 6 premiere, capitalizing on strong initial streaming momentum and established YA romance fan engagement that has propelled it into Netflix's US top 10 rankings. Recent chart performance and early viewership data underscore its frontrunner position at 68% implied probability, outpacing longer-running titles amid weekly fluctuations in audience demand. Contenders including Show A through Show G sit near even odds at 50%, reflecting uncertainty over which series might surge with new episodes or algorithmic boosts, while limited series like The Bombing of Pan Am 103 and true-crime entries trail at lower probabilities due to narrower appeal and established competition. Traders are watching midweek updates for any late momentum shifts before the period closes.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$4,220
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

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Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

41%
icon for Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?

88%
icon for Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 9 million views this week?

Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 9 million views this week?

78%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" at 86%, followed by "Tires: Season 3" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tires: Season 3" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.