Trader consensus centers on 160-219 tweets for Elon Musk in the August 14-21 window, with 180-199 holding the top implied probability at 19%. Recent daily averages near 23-30 posts, drawn from early August tracking and samples like 41 posts on August 9, anchor this range amid his routine mix of company updates, Grok features, and real-time reactions. Weekend slowdowns and the absence of major catalysts such as Starship flights or earnings keep totals from spiking higher, while news cycles around AI, Tesla autonomy, or politics could push volume upward. The tight spread across leading buckets underscores how incremental shifts in engagement or breaking stories remain the key swing factors for this high-activity account.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 19%
200-219 17%
160-179 16%
220-239 15%
NEW
$35,191 Vol.
NEW
$35,191 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
3%
120-139
3%
140-159
9%
160-179
16%
180-199
19%
200-219
17%
220-239
15%
240-259
12%
260-279
8%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
200-219 17%
160-179 16%
220-239 15%
NEW
$35,191 Vol.
NEW
$35,191 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
<20
$1,883 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$1,883 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$1,883 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$2,663 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$937 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$3,174 Vol.
3%
120-139
$5,088 Vol.
3%
140-159
$725 Vol.
9%
160-179
$1,999 Vol.
16%
180-199
$1,357 Vol.
19%
200-219
$840 Vol.
17%
220-239
$627 Vol.
15%
240-259
$627 Vol.
12%
260-279
$638 Vol.
8%
280-299
$1,107 Vol.
2%
300-319
$1,680 Vol.
1%
320-339
$617 Vol.
1%
340-359
$830 Vol.
1%
360-379
$637 Vol.
1%
380-399
$598 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$598 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$670 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$655 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$1,383 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$1,383 Vol.
<1%
500+
$712 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus centers on 160-219 tweets for Elon Musk in the August 14-21 window, with 180-199 holding the top implied probability at 19%. Recent daily averages near 23-30 posts, drawn from early August tracking and samples like 41 posts on August 9, anchor this range amid his routine mix of company updates, Grok features, and real-time reactions. Weekend slowdowns and the absence of major catalysts such as Starship flights or earnings keep totals from spiking higher, while news cycles around AI, Tesla autonomy, or politics could push volume upward. The tight spread across leading buckets underscores how incremental shifts in engagement or breaking stories remain the key swing factors for this high-activity account.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$35,191End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus centers on 160-219 tweets for Elon Musk in the August 14-21 window, with 180-199 holding the top implied probability at 19%. Recent daily averages near 23-30 posts, drawn from early August tracking and samples like 41 posts on August 9, anchor this range amid his routine mix of company updates, Grok features, and real-time reactions. Weekend slowdowns and the absence of major catalysts such as Starship flights or earnings keep totals from spiking higher, while news cycles around AI, Tesla autonomy, or politics could push volume upward. The tight spread across leading buckets underscores how incremental shifts in engagement or breaking stories remain the key swing factors for this high-activity account.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$35,191End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 160-219 tweets for Elon Musk in the August 14-21 window, with 180-199 holding the top implied probability at 19%. Recent daily averages near 23-30 posts, drawn from early August tracking and samples like 41 posts on August 9, anchor this range amid his routine mix of company updates, Grok features, and real-time reactions. Weekend slowdowns and the absence of major catalysts such as Starship flights or earnings keep totals from spiking higher, while news cycles around AI, Tesla autonomy, or politics could push volume upward. The tight spread across leading buckets underscores how incremental shifts in engagement or breaking stories remain the key swing factors for this high-activity account.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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