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icon for # of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?

# of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?

icon for # of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?

# of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?

90+ 60%

70-89 43%

50-69 42%

30-49 35%

Polymarket
NEW

90+ 60%

70-89 43%

50-69 42%

30-49 35%

Polymarket
NEW

<10

$709 Vol.

1%

10-29

$0 Vol.

26%

30-49

$0 Vol.

35%

50-69

$0 Vol.

42%

70-89

$0 Vol.

43%

90+

$0 Vol.

60%

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it. This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode. If no counter is displayed at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon, the last value displayed on the counter during the marathon will be used. This bracket will resolve to "No" early if the counter displays a value higher than the range of this bracket. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counter displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed launched their 2026 Hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, targeting multiple bosses including the Ender Dragon, Wither, Elder Guardian, and Warden in a single shared world with permanent death resets. Their 2024 run logged 42 deaths across 105 hours amid frequent coordination failures, creeper explosions, and fall damage, reflecting limited Minecraft expertise and high-stress streaming dynamics. Early 2026 footage already shows Speed dying to basic mobs like baby zombies, triggering restarts and tension. With all death-count bins trading near 43% implied probability, traders see wide variance from skill gaps, chaotic teamwork, and the marathon's extended timeline versus potential improvement through repetition.

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it.

This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon.

The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode.

If no counter is displayed at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon, the last value displayed on the counter during the marathon will be used.

This bracket will resolve to "No" early if the counter displays a value higher than the range of this bracket.

If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counter at that time.

The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counter displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
Volume
$709
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xz-ZVxRqWlc

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it. This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode. If no counter is displayed at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon, the last value displayed on the counter during the marathon will be used. This bracket will resolve to "No" early if the counter displays a value higher than the range of this bracket. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counter displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it. This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode. If no counter is displayed at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon, the last value displayed on the counter during the marathon will be used. This bracket will resolve to "No" early if the counter displays a value higher than the range of this bracket. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counter displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed launched their 2026 Hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, targeting multiple bosses including the Ender Dragon, Wither, Elder Guardian, and Warden in a single shared world with permanent death resets. Their 2024 run logged 42 deaths across 105 hours amid frequent coordination failures, creeper explosions, and fall damage, reflecting limited Minecraft expertise and high-stress streaming dynamics. Early 2026 footage already shows Speed dying to basic mobs like baby zombies, triggering restarts and tension. With all death-count bins trading near 43% implied probability, traders see wide variance from skill gaps, chaotic teamwork, and the marathon's extended timeline versus potential improvement through repetition.

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it.

This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon.

The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode.

If no counter is displayed at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon, the last value displayed on the counter during the marathon will be used.

This bracket will resolve to "No" early if the counter displays a value higher than the range of this bracket.

If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counter at that time.

The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counter displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
Volume
$709
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xz-ZVxRqWlc

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it. This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode. If no counter is displayed at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon, the last value displayed on the counter during the marathon will be used. This bracket will resolve to "No" early if the counter displays a value higher than the range of this bracket. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counter displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "90+" at 60%, followed by "50-69" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"# of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "# of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?" is "90+" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "50-69" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.