Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s output over the August 8-10 weekend because his recent cadence has settled into a moderate rhythm of roughly 14 posts daily amid routine commentary on SpaceX, AI, and cultural issues. The August tracker shows 27 posts over the first two days of the month, aligning with this band once weekend slowdowns are factored in. No major Starship test, earnings release, or breaking political event is scheduled to spike engagement, keeping higher brackets like 65-89 at just 21% implied probability. Historical weekend data reinforces the consensus that activity stays elevated but contained without a fresh catalyst to drive viral threads or rapid replies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 48%
<40 26%
65-89 21%
90-114 5%
NEW
$31,188 Vol.
NEW
$31,188 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
<40
26%
40-64
48%
65-89
21%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 48%
<40 26%
65-89 21%
90-114 5%
NEW
$31,188 Vol.
NEW
$31,188 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
<40
$4,120 Vol.
26%
40-64
$2,474 Vol.
48%
65-89
$3,465 Vol.
21%
90-114
$2,858 Vol.
5%
115-139
$4,286 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$1,274 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,943 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$3,676 Vol.
<1%
240+
$3,785 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s output over the August 8-10 weekend because his recent cadence has settled into a moderate rhythm of roughly 14 posts daily amid routine commentary on SpaceX, AI, and cultural issues. The August tracker shows 27 posts over the first two days of the month, aligning with this band once weekend slowdowns are factored in. No major Starship test, earnings release, or breaking political event is scheduled to spike engagement, keeping higher brackets like 65-89 at just 21% implied probability. Historical weekend data reinforces the consensus that activity stays elevated but contained without a fresh catalyst to drive viral threads or rapid replies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$31,188End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s output over the August 8-10 weekend because his recent cadence has settled into a moderate rhythm of roughly 14 posts daily amid routine commentary on SpaceX, AI, and cultural issues. The August tracker shows 27 posts over the first two days of the month, aligning with this band once weekend slowdowns are factored in. No major Starship test, earnings release, or breaking political event is scheduled to spike engagement, keeping higher brackets like 65-89 at just 21% implied probability. Historical weekend data reinforces the consensus that activity stays elevated but contained without a fresh catalyst to drive viral threads or rapid replies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$31,188End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s output over the August 8-10 weekend because his recent cadence has settled into a moderate rhythm of roughly 14 posts daily amid routine commentary on SpaceX, AI, and cultural issues. The August tracker shows 27 posts over the first two days of the month, aligning with this band once weekend slowdowns are factored in. No major Starship test, earnings release, or breaking political event is scheduled to spike engagement, keeping higher brackets like 65-89 at just 21% implied probability. Historical weekend data reinforces the consensus that activity stays elevated but contained without a fresh catalyst to drive viral threads or rapid replies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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