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icon for Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?

Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?

icon for Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?

Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?

NEW
Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket

$1,672 Vol.

Polymarket

August 14

$223 Vol.

11%

August 18

$305 Vol.

33%

August 19

$207 Vol.

42%

August 20

$709 Vol.

68%

August 21

$0 Vol.

74%

August 26

$475 Vol.

78%

August 31

$295 Vol.

90%

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon. If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream. Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon. The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed launched their joint Hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, committing to nonstop streams until they defeat the Ender Dragon, Wither, Elder Guardian, and Warden in one life per run. Trader sentiment reflects the punishing format, where any death wipes progress and forces a full restart, as evidenced by at least 18 deaths and multiple resets already logged in the first 48 hours, including a high-profile Elder Guardian wipe. The duo's coordination challenges and the bosses' varying demands for gear, preparation, and risk management amplify uncertainty around completion timelines. Key near-term catalysts include ongoing live sessions that could produce decisive runs or further setbacks, with markets pricing in extended duration given the event's open-ended structure until all objectives are met.

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon.

If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream.

Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon.

The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
Volume
$1,672
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 8:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon. If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream. Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon. The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon. If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream. Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon. The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed launched their joint Hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, committing to nonstop streams until they defeat the Ender Dragon, Wither, Elder Guardian, and Warden in one life per run. Trader sentiment reflects the punishing format, where any death wipes progress and forces a full restart, as evidenced by at least 18 deaths and multiple resets already logged in the first 48 hours, including a high-profile Elder Guardian wipe. The duo's coordination challenges and the bosses' varying demands for gear, preparation, and risk management amplify uncertainty around completion timelines. Key near-term catalysts include ongoing live sessions that could produce decisive runs or further setbacks, with markets pricing in extended duration given the event's open-ended structure until all objectives are met.

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon.

If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream.

Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon.

The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
Volume
$1,672
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 8:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon. If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream. Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon. The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "August 31" at 90%, followed by "August 26" at 78%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?" is "August 31" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August 26" at 78%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.