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icon for # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

icon for # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

Aug 8

Aug 8

25–30M 48%

30–35M 24%

20–25M 11%

35–40M 9%

Polymarket
NEW

25–30M 48%

30–35M 24%

20–25M 11%

35–40M 9%

Polymarket
NEW

<20M

$1,459 Vol.

5%

20–25M

$1,544 Vol.

11%

25–30M

$3,337 Vol.

48%

30–35M

$1,282 Vol.

24%

35–40M

$110 Vol.

13%

40–45M

$138 Vol.

5%

45–50M

$84 Vol.

4%

50M+

$627 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast's recent uploads, including wish-granting and survival-challenge videos, have shown day-one view totals clustering in the mid-20 millions range amid steady but not record-shattering momentum, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to the 25–30M bracket. Sustained channel growth past 500 million subscribers and ongoing hype around the creator's ambitious 2026 content slate provide a reliable floor, while any slowdown in algorithmic push or audience fatigue caps upside, keeping 30–35M as the clear secondary outcome. Upcoming releases will likely follow similar promotional patterns, with first-day numbers hinging on thumbnail impact, title intrigue, and immediate social sharing rather than long-term totals.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$8,581
End Date
Aug 8, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast's recent uploads, including wish-granting and survival-challenge videos, have shown day-one view totals clustering in the mid-20 millions range amid steady but not record-shattering momentum, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to the 25–30M bracket. Sustained channel growth past 500 million subscribers and ongoing hype around the creator's ambitious 2026 content slate provide a reliable floor, while any slowdown in algorithmic push or audience fatigue caps upside, keeping 30–35M as the clear secondary outcome. Upcoming releases will likely follow similar promotional patterns, with first-day numbers hinging on thumbnail impact, title intrigue, and immediate social sharing rather than long-term totals.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$8,581
End Date
Aug 8, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25–30M" at 48%, followed by "30–35M" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" is "25–30M" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30–35M" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.