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Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during remarks in New York?

icon for What will Trump say during remarks in New York?
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during remarks in New York?

NEW

$68,681 Vol.

Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket

$68,681 Vol.

Polymarket

Border 15+ times

$3,574 Vol.

38%

Crime 15+ times

$1,930 Vol.

40%

Drug / Murderer 10+ times

$1,350 Vol.

49%

Hell 7+ times

$887 Vol.

34%

Through The Roof

$2,683 Vol.

49%

Think About It

$2,202 Vol.

39%

Police Officer

$346 Vol.

86%

Crazy

$1,051 Vol.

68%

Biden

$6,576 Vol.

92%

Communist / Communism

$3,349 Vol.

82%

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

$15,623 Vol.

82%

Stock Market

$2,934 Vol.

76%

Hottest

$565 Vol.

74%

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$2,459 Vol.

64%

Transgender

$10,172 Vol.

73%

Zohran / Mamdani

$4,262 Vol.

55%

Barack Hussein Obama

$2,073 Vol.

49%

Supreme Court

$556 Vol.

46%

Kamala

$2,174 Vol.

40%

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

$3,421 Vol.

3%

-No Qualifying Event-

$496 Vol.

2%

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in New York on August 14, 2026. (https://x.com/bern_hogan/status/2086883175402184730). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in New York on August 14, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfPresident Trump's remarks in New York have historically emphasized border security, urban crime rates, tax cuts, and economic performance in the state, often alongside local Republican candidates. In May 2026 speeches supporting Rep. Mike Lawler, he repeatedly referenced affordability measures and tax policy while shifting to crime statistics, voter identification requirements, and partisan framing of Democratic governance. Traders monitor these patterns because repetition of specific terms like "border" or "crime" has varied across events, influenced by audience, location in competitive districts, and broader midterm messaging priorities. Upcoming scheduled appearances or policy-focused events in the region could shift emphasis toward enforcement actions, economic data releases, or state-level issues, altering the frequency of key phrases within the resolution window.

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in New York on August 14, 2026. (https://x.com/bern_hogan/status/2086883175402184730).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in New York on August 14, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$68,681
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in New York on August 14, 2026. (https://x.com/bern_hogan/status/2086883175402184730). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in New York on August 14, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in New York on August 14, 2026. (https://x.com/bern_hogan/status/2086883175402184730). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in New York on August 14, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfPresident Trump's remarks in New York have historically emphasized border security, urban crime rates, tax cuts, and economic performance in the state, often alongside local Republican candidates. In May 2026 speeches supporting Rep. Mike Lawler, he repeatedly referenced affordability measures and tax policy while shifting to crime statistics, voter identification requirements, and partisan framing of Democratic governance. Traders monitor these patterns because repetition of specific terms like "border" or "crime" has varied across events, influenced by audience, location in competitive districts, and broader midterm messaging priorities. Upcoming scheduled appearances or policy-focused events in the region could shift emphasis toward enforcement actions, economic data releases, or state-level issues, altering the frequency of key phrases within the resolution window.

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in New York on August 14, 2026. (https://x.com/bern_hogan/status/2086883175402184730).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in New York on August 14, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$68,681
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in New York on August 14, 2026. (https://x.com/bern_hogan/status/2086883175402184730). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in New York on August 14, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during remarks in New York?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Biden" at 92%, followed by "Police Officer" at 86%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during remarks in New York?" has generated $68.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during remarks in New York?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during remarks in New York?" is "Biden" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Police Officer" at 86%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during remarks in New York?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.