**Market-implied odds favor a 34°C peak in Tel Aviv on August 3 at 53.5%, followed by 33°C (24.5%) and 35°C (19.0%), reflecting model consensus around typical early-August Mediterranean summer conditions.** Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global numerical weather prediction runs (including those feeding AccuWeather and similar services) indicate persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow supporting daytime maxima near 33–34°C along the coast. Sea-breeze timing and urban heat-island effects introduce small uncertainties that can shift the recorded high by 1°C, keeping 33°C and 35°C in play while rendering extremes below 32°C or above 36°C unlikely. Seasonal climatology places early-August averages near 31–32°C, so current model outputs represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with ongoing heat-stress warnings but without signals of an intense heatwave. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 3?
34°C 54%
33°C 28%
35°C 17%
31°C or below 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
28%
34°C
54%
35°C
17%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 54%
33°C 28%
35°C 17%
31°C or below 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
31°C or below
$30 Vol.
2%
32°C
$65 Vol.
2%
33°C
$746 Vol.
28%
34°C
$202 Vol.
54%
35°C
$419 Vol.
17%
36°C
$105 Vol.
2%
37°C
$34 Vol.
2%
38°C
$101 Vol.
1%
39°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$383 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a 34°C peak in Tel Aviv on August 3 at 53.5%, followed by 33°C (24.5%) and 35°C (19.0%), reflecting model consensus around typical early-August Mediterranean summer conditions.**
Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global numerical weather prediction runs (including those feeding AccuWeather and similar services) indicate persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow supporting daytime maxima near 33–34°C along the coast. Sea-breeze timing and urban heat-island effects introduce small uncertainties that can shift the recorded high by 1°C, keeping 33°C and 35°C in play while rendering extremes below 32°C or above 36°C unlikely. Seasonal climatology places early-August averages near 31–32°C, so current model outputs represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with ongoing heat-stress warnings but without signals of an intense heatwave. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,393End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a 34°C peak in Tel Aviv on August 3 at 53.5%, followed by 33°C (24.5%) and 35°C (19.0%), reflecting model consensus around typical early-August Mediterranean summer conditions.**
Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global numerical weather prediction runs (including those feeding AccuWeather and similar services) indicate persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow supporting daytime maxima near 33–34°C along the coast. Sea-breeze timing and urban heat-island effects introduce small uncertainties that can shift the recorded high by 1°C, keeping 33°C and 35°C in play while rendering extremes below 32°C or above 36°C unlikely. Seasonal climatology places early-August averages near 31–32°C, so current model outputs represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with ongoing heat-stress warnings but without signals of an intense heatwave. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,393End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a 34°C peak in Tel Aviv on August 3 at 53.5%, followed by 33°C (24.5%) and 35°C (19.0%), reflecting model consensus around typical early-August Mediterranean summer conditions.** Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global numerical weather prediction runs (including those feeding AccuWeather and similar services) indicate persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow supporting daytime maxima near 33–34°C along the coast. Sea-breeze timing and urban heat-island effects introduce small uncertainties that can shift the recorded high by 1°C, keeping 33°C and 35°C in play while rendering extremes below 32°C or above 36°C unlikely. Seasonal climatology places early-August averages near 31–32°C, so current model outputs represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with ongoing heat-stress warnings but without signals of an intense heatwave. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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