Current forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 1, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence and warm air advection from the east under clear skies. This exceeds the early-August climatological average of roughly 30–32°C, reflecting above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean and limited daytime sea-breeze cooling. Ensemble guidance shows a tight cluster around 34–36°C, with minimal probability of reaching 37°C or higher due to coastal moderation and typical diurnal ranges; the market’s heavy weighting on 35°C therefore aligns with the latest observational trends and short-range model consensus ahead of final official readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 1?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 1?
35°C 74%
34°C 17%
36°C 14%
37°C <1%
$27,941 Vol.
$27,941 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
15%
35°C
74%
36°C
14%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 74%
34°C 17%
36°C 14%
37°C <1%
$27,941 Vol.
$27,941 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
31°C or below
$509 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,072 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,146 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$8,454 Vol.
15%
35°C
$4,490 Vol.
74%
36°C
$3,420 Vol.
14%
37°C
$1,587 Vol.
1%
38°C
$632 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$354 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$3,918 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 1, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence and warm air advection from the east under clear skies. This exceeds the early-August climatological average of roughly 30–32°C, reflecting above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean and limited daytime sea-breeze cooling. Ensemble guidance shows a tight cluster around 34–36°C, with minimal probability of reaching 37°C or higher due to coastal moderation and typical diurnal ranges; the market’s heavy weighting on 35°C therefore aligns with the latest observational trends and short-range model consensus ahead of final official readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$27,941End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 1, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence and warm air advection from the east under clear skies. This exceeds the early-August climatological average of roughly 30–32°C, reflecting above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean and limited daytime sea-breeze cooling. Ensemble guidance shows a tight cluster around 34–36°C, with minimal probability of reaching 37°C or higher due to coastal moderation and typical diurnal ranges; the market’s heavy weighting on 35°C therefore aligns with the latest observational trends and short-range model consensus ahead of final official readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,941End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service point to a peak temperature near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 1, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence and warm air advection from the east under clear skies. This exceeds the early-August climatological average of roughly 30–32°C, reflecting above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean and limited daytime sea-breeze cooling. Ensemble guidance shows a tight cluster around 34–36°C, with minimal probability of reaching 37°C or higher due to coastal moderation and typical diurnal ranges; the market’s heavy weighting on 35°C therefore aligns with the latest observational trends and short-range model consensus ahead of final official readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions