Recent forecasts from regional meteorological outlooks indicate a fine, partly cloudy pattern with light to moderate southerly winds for Cape Town on August 3, supporting a daily maximum near 19°C amid typical winter conditions in the city's Mediterranean climate. This aligns with climatological averages of 17–18°C highs for early August, where Atlantic Ocean moderation and Table Mountain's orographic effects limit extremes. Trader sentiment clusters around 21–23°C because ensemble models show modest uncertainty in peak afternoon heating under variable cloud cover and wind shifts, with limited recent warming trends or blocking highs to push values higher. Official guidance from South African weather services emphasizes stable conditions without significant frontal systems, keeping lower outcomes (below 19°C) at reduced implied probabilities while capping upside beyond 24°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these narrow ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 3?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 3?
21°C 27%
22°C 24%
23°C 21%
20°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
10%
20°C
16%
21°C
27%
22°C
24%
23°C
21%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 27%
22°C 24%
23°C 21%
20°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
16°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
17°C
$26 Vol.
2%
18°C
$31 Vol.
5%
19°C
$46 Vol.
10%
20°C
$45 Vol.
16%
21°C
$95 Vol.
27%
22°C
$35 Vol.
24%
23°C
$205 Vol.
21%
24°C
$27 Vol.
6%
25°C
$20 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$60 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological outlooks indicate a fine, partly cloudy pattern with light to moderate southerly winds for Cape Town on August 3, supporting a daily maximum near 19°C amid typical winter conditions in the city's Mediterranean climate. This aligns with climatological averages of 17–18°C highs for early August, where Atlantic Ocean moderation and Table Mountain's orographic effects limit extremes. Trader sentiment clusters around 21–23°C because ensemble models show modest uncertainty in peak afternoon heating under variable cloud cover and wind shifts, with limited recent warming trends or blocking highs to push values higher. Official guidance from South African weather services emphasizes stable conditions without significant frontal systems, keeping lower outcomes (below 19°C) at reduced implied probabilities while capping upside beyond 24°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these narrow ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$600End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological outlooks indicate a fine, partly cloudy pattern with light to moderate southerly winds for Cape Town on August 3, supporting a daily maximum near 19°C amid typical winter conditions in the city's Mediterranean climate. This aligns with climatological averages of 17–18°C highs for early August, where Atlantic Ocean moderation and Table Mountain's orographic effects limit extremes. Trader sentiment clusters around 21–23°C because ensemble models show modest uncertainty in peak afternoon heating under variable cloud cover and wind shifts, with limited recent warming trends or blocking highs to push values higher. Official guidance from South African weather services emphasizes stable conditions without significant frontal systems, keeping lower outcomes (below 19°C) at reduced implied probabilities while capping upside beyond 24°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these narrow ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$600End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional meteorological outlooks indicate a fine, partly cloudy pattern with light to moderate southerly winds for Cape Town on August 3, supporting a daily maximum near 19°C amid typical winter conditions in the city's Mediterranean climate. This aligns with climatological averages of 17–18°C highs for early August, where Atlantic Ocean moderation and Table Mountain's orographic effects limit extremes. Trader sentiment clusters around 21–23°C because ensemble models show modest uncertainty in peak afternoon heating under variable cloud cover and wind shifts, with limited recent warming trends or blocking highs to push values higher. Official guidance from South African weather services emphasizes stable conditions without significant frontal systems, keeping lower outcomes (below 19°C) at reduced implied probabilities while capping upside beyond 24°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these narrow ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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