Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High advecting warm, humid air masses, are the main catalyst behind trader consensus favoring 35–37°C peaks for Busan on August 3. Korea Meteorological Administration warnings and recent observations near 35°C, combined with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected through early August, support elevated daytime maxima. Subtle forecast differences—such as minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing along the coast, or localized urban heat effects—explain the tight spread among leading outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C highlight how current subtropical ridging has shifted probabilities higher, with traders weighting model consensus against potential small-scale cooling influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 3?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 3?
36°C 31%
35°C 29%
37°C 22%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
29%
36°C
31%
37°C
22%
38°C
9%
39°C
4%
40°C
4%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
1%
36°C 31%
35°C 29%
37°C 22%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
32°C or below
$31 Vol.
2%
33°C
$82 Vol.
4%
34°C
$87 Vol.
11%
35°C
$143 Vol.
29%
36°C
$121 Vol.
31%
37°C
$212 Vol.
22%
38°C
$189 Vol.
9%
39°C
$160 Vol.
4%
40°C
$10 Vol.
4%
41°C
$10 Vol.
2%
42°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High advecting warm, humid air masses, are the main catalyst behind trader consensus favoring 35–37°C peaks for Busan on August 3. Korea Meteorological Administration warnings and recent observations near 35°C, combined with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected through early August, support elevated daytime maxima. Subtle forecast differences—such as minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing along the coast, or localized urban heat effects—explain the tight spread among leading outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C highlight how current subtropical ridging has shifted probabilities higher, with traders weighting model consensus against potential small-scale cooling influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,056End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High advecting warm, humid air masses, are the main catalyst behind trader consensus favoring 35–37°C peaks for Busan on August 3. Korea Meteorological Administration warnings and recent observations near 35°C, combined with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected through early August, support elevated daytime maxima. Subtle forecast differences—such as minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing along the coast, or localized urban heat effects—explain the tight spread among leading outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C highlight how current subtropical ridging has shifted probabilities higher, with traders weighting model consensus against potential small-scale cooling influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,056End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High advecting warm, humid air masses, are the main catalyst behind trader consensus favoring 35–37°C peaks for Busan on August 3. Korea Meteorological Administration warnings and recent observations near 35°C, combined with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected through early August, support elevated daytime maxima. Subtle forecast differences—such as minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing along the coast, or localized urban heat effects—explain the tight spread among leading outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C highlight how current subtropical ridging has shifted probabilities higher, with traders weighting model consensus against potential small-scale cooling influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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