Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by the expansive North Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, moist air across South Korea underpin the market-implied odds, with trader consensus clustering around 36–38°C for Busan’s August 2 maximum. Coastal location introduces moderating sea breezes and higher humidity that can suppress peak readings relative to inland areas, while ensemble model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration show modest day-to-day variability in daytime heating. Recent short-range guidance indicates highs near 33–35°C under mostly cloudy skies, yet any shift in steering flow or reduced cloud cover could push readings higher. Updated KMA forecasts and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 2?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 2?
37°C 34%
36°C or below 26%
38°C 23%
39°C 15%
NEW
$36,419 Vol.
NEW
$36,419 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
36°C or below
26%
37°C
34%
38°C
23%
39°C
15%
40°C
7%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
37°C 34%
36°C or below 26%
38°C 23%
39°C 15%
NEW
$36,419 Vol.
NEW
$36,419 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
36°C or below
$7,529 Vol.
26%
37°C
$4,871 Vol.
34%
38°C
$5,709 Vol.
23%
39°C
$7,538 Vol.
15%
40°C
$3,724 Vol.
7%
41°C
$3,002 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$1,839 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$1,289 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$282 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$318 Vol.
<1%
46°C or higher
$318 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by the expansive North Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, moist air across South Korea underpin the market-implied odds, with trader consensus clustering around 36–38°C for Busan’s August 2 maximum. Coastal location introduces moderating sea breezes and higher humidity that can suppress peak readings relative to inland areas, while ensemble model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration show modest day-to-day variability in daytime heating. Recent short-range guidance indicates highs near 33–35°C under mostly cloudy skies, yet any shift in steering flow or reduced cloud cover could push readings higher. Updated KMA forecasts and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$36,419End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by the expansive North Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, moist air across South Korea underpin the market-implied odds, with trader consensus clustering around 36–38°C for Busan’s August 2 maximum. Coastal location introduces moderating sea breezes and higher humidity that can suppress peak readings relative to inland areas, while ensemble model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration show modest day-to-day variability in daytime heating. Recent short-range guidance indicates highs near 33–35°C under mostly cloudy skies, yet any shift in steering flow or reduced cloud cover could push readings higher. Updated KMA forecasts and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,419End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heat wave conditions driven by the expansive North Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, moist air across South Korea underpin the market-implied odds, with trader consensus clustering around 36–38°C for Busan’s August 2 maximum. Coastal location introduces moderating sea breezes and higher humidity that can suppress peak readings relative to inland areas, while ensemble model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration show modest day-to-day variability in daytime heating. Recent short-range guidance indicates highs near 33–35°C under mostly cloudy skies, yet any shift in steering flow or reduced cloud cover could push readings higher. Updated KMA forecasts and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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