Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies show high uncertainty for Munich's peak temperature on August 2, with ensemble runs clustering around 29–30 °C under a moderate high-pressure ridge and limited moisture advection. Diurnal heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle shifts in 500 hPa geopotential heights differentiate the narrow band of leading outcomes, while historical August maxima near 28 °C provide climatological context. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against potential afternoon convection or slight cooling from increased cloud cover, keeping implied probabilities tightly bunched until the final observational window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 2?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 2?
30°C 38%
29°C 32%
28°C 16%
31°C 15%
NEW
$27,574 Vol.
NEW
$27,574 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
16%
29°C
32%
30°C
38%
31°C
15%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 38%
29°C 32%
28°C 16%
31°C 15%
NEW
$27,574 Vol.
NEW
$27,574 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
26°C or below
$3,276 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$948 Vol.
1%
28°C
$3,881 Vol.
16%
29°C
$7,174 Vol.
32%
30°C
$3,199 Vol.
38%
31°C
$2,881 Vol.
15%
32°C
$1,875 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,871 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,160 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,043 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies show high uncertainty for Munich's peak temperature on August 2, with ensemble runs clustering around 29–30 °C under a moderate high-pressure ridge and limited moisture advection. Diurnal heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle shifts in 500 hPa geopotential heights differentiate the narrow band of leading outcomes, while historical August maxima near 28 °C provide climatological context. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against potential afternoon convection or slight cooling from increased cloud cover, keeping implied probabilities tightly bunched until the final observational window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$27,574End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies show high uncertainty for Munich's peak temperature on August 2, with ensemble runs clustering around 29–30 °C under a moderate high-pressure ridge and limited moisture advection. Diurnal heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle shifts in 500 hPa geopotential heights differentiate the narrow band of leading outcomes, while historical August maxima near 28 °C provide climatological context. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against potential afternoon convection or slight cooling from increased cloud cover, keeping implied probabilities tightly bunched until the final observational window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,574End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies show high uncertainty for Munich's peak temperature on August 2, with ensemble runs clustering around 29–30 °C under a moderate high-pressure ridge and limited moisture advection. Diurnal heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle shifts in 500 hPa geopotential heights differentiate the narrow band of leading outcomes, while historical August maxima near 28 °C provide climatological context. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against potential afternoon convection or slight cooling from increased cloud cover, keeping implied probabilities tightly bunched until the final observational window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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