Monsoon conditions in early August typically moderate Karachi's daytime highs through increased cloud cover, humidity, and sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, while the Pakistan Meteorological Department's seasonal outlook points to above-normal temperatures across Sindh amid weak early-month monsoon currents and below-normal rainfall. These factors position 32–33°C as the leading outcomes in trader consensus, reflecting historical August averages near 32°C and short-range model guidance favoring limited intensification without strong heating. Recent developments, including persistent above-normal temperature signals and subdued precipitation forecasts, have reinforced this range over higher or lower thresholds, though model updates closer to August 3 could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or unexpected rain emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 3?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 3?
33°C 44%
32°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
27%
33°C
44%
34°C
24%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 44%
32°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
26°C or below
$18 Vol.
1%
27°C
$18 Vol.
1%
28°C
$18 Vol.
1%
29°C
$18 Vol.
1%
30°C
$13 Vol.
3%
31°C
$13 Vol.
7%
32°C
$44 Vol.
27%
33°C
$93 Vol.
44%
34°C
$51 Vol.
24%
35°C
$13 Vol.
4%
36°C or higher
$13 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon conditions in early August typically moderate Karachi's daytime highs through increased cloud cover, humidity, and sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, while the Pakistan Meteorological Department's seasonal outlook points to above-normal temperatures across Sindh amid weak early-month monsoon currents and below-normal rainfall. These factors position 32–33°C as the leading outcomes in trader consensus, reflecting historical August averages near 32°C and short-range model guidance favoring limited intensification without strong heating. Recent developments, including persistent above-normal temperature signals and subdued precipitation forecasts, have reinforced this range over higher or lower thresholds, though model updates closer to August 3 could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or unexpected rain emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$314End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon conditions in early August typically moderate Karachi's daytime highs through increased cloud cover, humidity, and sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, while the Pakistan Meteorological Department's seasonal outlook points to above-normal temperatures across Sindh amid weak early-month monsoon currents and below-normal rainfall. These factors position 32–33°C as the leading outcomes in trader consensus, reflecting historical August averages near 32°C and short-range model guidance favoring limited intensification without strong heating. Recent developments, including persistent above-normal temperature signals and subdued precipitation forecasts, have reinforced this range over higher or lower thresholds, though model updates closer to August 3 could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or unexpected rain emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$314End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Monsoon conditions in early August typically moderate Karachi's daytime highs through increased cloud cover, humidity, and sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, while the Pakistan Meteorological Department's seasonal outlook points to above-normal temperatures across Sindh amid weak early-month monsoon currents and below-normal rainfall. These factors position 32–33°C as the leading outcomes in trader consensus, reflecting historical August averages near 32°C and short-range model guidance favoring limited intensification without strong heating. Recent developments, including persistent above-normal temperature signals and subdued precipitation forecasts, have reinforced this range over higher or lower thresholds, though model updates closer to August 3 could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or unexpected rain emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions