Seasonal climatology and early August monsoon dynamics position 32–33°C as the leading outcomes for Karachi’s daily maximum on August 2, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C and recent model guidance showing highs in the low-to-mid 30s. Weak monsoon currents forecast by the Pakistan Meteorological Department for the first week of August are expected to limit cloud cover and rainfall, supporting temperatures at or slightly above the long-term mean. Seasonal outlooks for July–September 2026 indicate above-normal maximum temperatures across Sindh amid persistent ENSO-neutral to weak conditions, raising the probability of 34°C or higher while keeping extremes above 35°C unlikely. Short-range forecast updates from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 2?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 2?
33°C 44%
32°C 24%
34°C 17%
31°C 9%
NEW
$10,522 Vol.
NEW
$10,522 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
24%
33°C
44%
34°C
17%
35°C or higher
8%
33°C 44%
32°C 24%
34°C 17%
31°C 9%
NEW
$10,522 Vol.
NEW
$10,522 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
25°C or below
$518 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$532 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,174 Vol.
1%
29°C
$784 Vol.
1%
30°C
$482 Vol.
3%
31°C
$951 Vol.
9%
32°C
$1,925 Vol.
24%
33°C
$1,108 Vol.
44%
34°C
$1,496 Vol.
17%
35°C or higher
$462 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal climatology and early August monsoon dynamics position 32–33°C as the leading outcomes for Karachi’s daily maximum on August 2, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C and recent model guidance showing highs in the low-to-mid 30s. Weak monsoon currents forecast by the Pakistan Meteorological Department for the first week of August are expected to limit cloud cover and rainfall, supporting temperatures at or slightly above the long-term mean. Seasonal outlooks for July–September 2026 indicate above-normal maximum temperatures across Sindh amid persistent ENSO-neutral to weak conditions, raising the probability of 34°C or higher while keeping extremes above 35°C unlikely. Short-range forecast updates from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$10,522End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal climatology and early August monsoon dynamics position 32–33°C as the leading outcomes for Karachi’s daily maximum on August 2, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C and recent model guidance showing highs in the low-to-mid 30s. Weak monsoon currents forecast by the Pakistan Meteorological Department for the first week of August are expected to limit cloud cover and rainfall, supporting temperatures at or slightly above the long-term mean. Seasonal outlooks for July–September 2026 indicate above-normal maximum temperatures across Sindh amid persistent ENSO-neutral to weak conditions, raising the probability of 34°C or higher while keeping extremes above 35°C unlikely. Short-range forecast updates from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,522End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal climatology and early August monsoon dynamics position 32–33°C as the leading outcomes for Karachi’s daily maximum on August 2, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C and recent model guidance showing highs in the low-to-mid 30s. Weak monsoon currents forecast by the Pakistan Meteorological Department for the first week of August are expected to limit cloud cover and rainfall, supporting temperatures at or slightly above the long-term mean. Seasonal outlooks for July–September 2026 indicate above-normal maximum temperatures across Sindh amid persistent ENSO-neutral to weak conditions, raising the probability of 34°C or higher while keeping extremes above 35°C unlikely. Short-range forecast updates from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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