Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate above-normal temperatures across southern England through early August, driven by building high pressure that favors clearer skies and reduced radiative cooling overnight. This setup supports trader consensus around an 18°C minimum on August 3, with 19°C as a close second, as ensemble guidance shows limited cloud cover or wind to suppress lows further. Historical August baselines place typical London minima near 14–15°C, but current warm anomalies and light winds elevate the near-term outlook. Key variables include any last-minute shifts in pressure patterns or Atlantic fronts, with updated model runs expected daily ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 3?
Lowest temperature in London on August 3?
18°C 37%
17°C 27%
19°C 25%
20°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
25%
18°C
52%
19°C
25%
20°C
13%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 37%
17°C 27%
19°C 25%
20°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
14°C or below
$62 Vol.
1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
5%
16°C
$5 Vol.
9%
17°C
$8 Vol.
25%
18°C
$5 Vol.
52%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$1 Vol.
13%
21°C
$52 Vol.
5%
22°C
$47 Vol.
1%
23°C
$32 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate above-normal temperatures across southern England through early August, driven by building high pressure that favors clearer skies and reduced radiative cooling overnight. This setup supports trader consensus around an 18°C minimum on August 3, with 19°C as a close second, as ensemble guidance shows limited cloud cover or wind to suppress lows further. Historical August baselines place typical London minima near 14–15°C, but current warm anomalies and light winds elevate the near-term outlook. Key variables include any last-minute shifts in pressure patterns or Atlantic fronts, with updated model runs expected daily ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$211End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate above-normal temperatures across southern England through early August, driven by building high pressure that favors clearer skies and reduced radiative cooling overnight. This setup supports trader consensus around an 18°C minimum on August 3, with 19°C as a close second, as ensemble guidance shows limited cloud cover or wind to suppress lows further. Historical August baselines place typical London minima near 14–15°C, but current warm anomalies and light winds elevate the near-term outlook. Key variables include any last-minute shifts in pressure patterns or Atlantic fronts, with updated model runs expected daily ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$211End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate above-normal temperatures across southern England through early August, driven by building high pressure that favors clearer skies and reduced radiative cooling overnight. This setup supports trader consensus around an 18°C minimum on August 3, with 19°C as a close second, as ensemble guidance shows limited cloud cover or wind to suppress lows further. Historical August baselines place typical London minima near 14–15°C, but current warm anomalies and light winds elevate the near-term outlook. Key variables include any last-minute shifts in pressure patterns or Atlantic fronts, with updated model runs expected daily ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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