Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a warm high-pressure setup over southern England on August 2, 2026, with daytime maxima near 27°C but overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies supporting a minimum around 15–16°C in central London. Climatological baselines place typical early-August nighttime lows at 13–15°C, and the current pattern—following a warmer-than-average summer—has kept dew points moderate without strong advection of cooler air. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover or wind to suppress cooling, positioning 15°C as the mode while the 31% probability on 16°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 2?
Lowest temperature in London on August 2?
15°C 61%
16°C 30%
17°C 11%
14°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
61%
16°C
30%
17°C
11%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 61%
16°C 30%
17°C 11%
14°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
11°C or below
$332 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$424 Vol.
1%
14°C
$491 Vol.
5%
15°C
$1,090 Vol.
61%
16°C
$2,973 Vol.
30%
17°C
$1,450 Vol.
11%
18°C
$336 Vol.
2%
19°C
$227 Vol.
1%
20°C
$626 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$406 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a warm high-pressure setup over southern England on August 2, 2026, with daytime maxima near 27°C but overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies supporting a minimum around 15–16°C in central London. Climatological baselines place typical early-August nighttime lows at 13–15°C, and the current pattern—following a warmer-than-average summer—has kept dew points moderate without strong advection of cooler air. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover or wind to suppress cooling, positioning 15°C as the mode while the 31% probability on 16°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$8,767End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a warm high-pressure setup over southern England on August 2, 2026, with daytime maxima near 27°C but overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies supporting a minimum around 15–16°C in central London. Climatological baselines place typical early-August nighttime lows at 13–15°C, and the current pattern—following a warmer-than-average summer—has kept dew points moderate without strong advection of cooler air. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover or wind to suppress cooling, positioning 15°C as the mode while the 31% probability on 16°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,767End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a warm high-pressure setup over southern England on August 2, 2026, with daytime maxima near 27°C but overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies supporting a minimum around 15–16°C in central London. Climatological baselines place typical early-August nighttime lows at 13–15°C, and the current pattern—following a warmer-than-average summer—has kept dew points moderate without strong advection of cooler air. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover or wind to suppress cooling, positioning 15°C as the mode while the 31% probability on 16°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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