Recent Met Office guidance positions 27°C as the most likely daytime maximum for London on August 2 under building high pressure, light winds, and a southerly air mass that supports gradual warming with increasing sunshine. This forecast aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C and reflects southern England's ongoing 2–3°C above-average temperature anomaly. Model consensus and historical August climatology favor modest daily highs near or slightly above the seasonal mean, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge the outcome toward 26°C or 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any revisions ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on August 2?
Highest temperature in London on August 2?
27°C 49%
26°C 28%
28°C 17%
25°C 8%
NEW
$38,805 Vol.
NEW
$38,805 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
49%
28°C
17%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
26°C 28%
28°C 17%
25°C 8%
NEW
$38,805 Vol.
NEW
$38,805 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
22°C or below
$739 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$562 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,331 Vol.
1%
25°C
$9,315 Vol.
8%
26°C
$8,634 Vol.
28%
27°C
$7,277 Vol.
49%
28°C
$2,054 Vol.
17%
29°C
$2,753 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,660 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,323 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,157 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance positions 27°C as the most likely daytime maximum for London on August 2 under building high pressure, light winds, and a southerly air mass that supports gradual warming with increasing sunshine. This forecast aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C and reflects southern England's ongoing 2–3°C above-average temperature anomaly. Model consensus and historical August climatology favor modest daily highs near or slightly above the seasonal mean, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge the outcome toward 26°C or 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any revisions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$38,805End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance positions 27°C as the most likely daytime maximum for London on August 2 under building high pressure, light winds, and a southerly air mass that supports gradual warming with increasing sunshine. This forecast aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C and reflects southern England's ongoing 2–3°C above-average temperature anomaly. Model consensus and historical August climatology favor modest daily highs near or slightly above the seasonal mean, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge the outcome toward 26°C or 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any revisions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,805End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance positions 27°C as the most likely daytime maximum for London on August 2 under building high pressure, light winds, and a southerly air mass that supports gradual warming with increasing sunshine. This forecast aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C and reflects southern England's ongoing 2–3°C above-average temperature anomaly. Model consensus and historical August climatology favor modest daily highs near or slightly above the seasonal mean, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge the outcome toward 26°C or 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any revisions ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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