Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources point to a high near 98°F in Dallas on August 2 under sunny skies and light winds, supporting the market's leading 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure across the southern Plains favors strong daytime heating typical of late-summer climatology, with average August highs around 95-99°F; recent model runs show limited cloud cover or moisture return that could cap temperatures below 100°F. Soil moisture deficits from prior weeks may enhance sensible heating, though any slight increase in boundary-layer humidity could trim the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against historical variability in early-August maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 2?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 2?
96-97°F 46%
98-99°F 33%
94-95°F 10%
100-101°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
46%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 46%
98-99°F 33%
94-95°F 10%
100-101°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
89°F or below
$73 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$78 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$229 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$221 Vol.
10%
96-97°F
$377 Vol.
46%
98-99°F
$113 Vol.
33%
100-101°F
$68 Vol.
8%
102-103°F
$111 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$81 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$79 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$99 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources point to a high near 98°F in Dallas on August 2 under sunny skies and light winds, supporting the market's leading 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure across the southern Plains favors strong daytime heating typical of late-summer climatology, with average August highs around 95-99°F; recent model runs show limited cloud cover or moisture return that could cap temperatures below 100°F. Soil moisture deficits from prior weeks may enhance sensible heating, though any slight increase in boundary-layer humidity could trim the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against historical variability in early-August maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,528End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources point to a high near 98°F in Dallas on August 2 under sunny skies and light winds, supporting the market's leading 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure across the southern Plains favors strong daytime heating typical of late-summer climatology, with average August highs around 95-99°F; recent model runs show limited cloud cover or moisture return that could cap temperatures below 100°F. Soil moisture deficits from prior weeks may enhance sensible heating, though any slight increase in boundary-layer humidity could trim the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against historical variability in early-August maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,528End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources point to a high near 98°F in Dallas on August 2 under sunny skies and light winds, supporting the market's leading 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins as the most probable outcomes. Persistent high pressure across the southern Plains favors strong daytime heating typical of late-summer climatology, with average August highs around 95-99°F; recent model runs show limited cloud cover or moisture return that could cap temperatures below 100°F. Soil moisture deficits from prior weeks may enhance sensible heating, though any slight increase in boundary-layer humidity could trim the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against historical variability in early-August maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions