Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus positions a high of 98–99°F as the most probable outcome for Dallas on August 1, reflecting typical late-summer atmospheric conditions dominated by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture. These factors support daytime heating near seasonal norms around 99°F while limiting extreme outliers, consistent with the market’s 52.5% implied probability for the leading bin and lower odds for 100°F-plus readings. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from potential afternoon convection or slight wind shifts that could trim or boost the peak by a degree or two before official observations finalize resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 1?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 1?
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 25%
100-101°F 18%
94-95°F 6%
NEW
$20,345 Vol.
NEW
$20,345 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
25%
98-99°F
53%
100-101°F
18%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 25%
100-101°F 18%
94-95°F 6%
NEW
$20,345 Vol.
NEW
$20,345 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
91°F or below
$2,348 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$3,599 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$1,290 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$3,642 Vol.
25%
98-99°F
$2,902 Vol.
53%
100-101°F
$1,138 Vol.
18%
102-103°F
$2,325 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$1,398 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$807 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$611 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus positions a high of 98–99°F as the most probable outcome for Dallas on August 1, reflecting typical late-summer atmospheric conditions dominated by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture. These factors support daytime heating near seasonal norms around 99°F while limiting extreme outliers, consistent with the market’s 52.5% implied probability for the leading bin and lower odds for 100°F-plus readings. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from potential afternoon convection or slight wind shifts that could trim or boost the peak by a degree or two before official observations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$20,345End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus positions a high of 98–99°F as the most probable outcome for Dallas on August 1, reflecting typical late-summer atmospheric conditions dominated by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture. These factors support daytime heating near seasonal norms around 99°F while limiting extreme outliers, consistent with the market’s 52.5% implied probability for the leading bin and lower odds for 100°F-plus readings. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from potential afternoon convection or slight wind shifts that could trim or boost the peak by a degree or two before official observations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,345End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus positions a high of 98–99°F as the most probable outcome for Dallas on August 1, reflecting typical late-summer atmospheric conditions dominated by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture. These factors support daytime heating near seasonal norms around 99°F while limiting extreme outliers, consistent with the market’s 52.5% implied probability for the leading bin and lower odds for 100°F-plus readings. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from potential afternoon convection or slight wind shifts that could trim or boost the peak by a degree or two before official observations finalize resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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