Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 102-103°F as the official high for Dallas on July 31, 2026, reflecting National Weather Service model consensus and preliminary station observations under persistent high pressure and clear skies. July climatology for the Dallas-Fort Worth area shows average highs near 96°F, yet 2026 summer patterns featured repeated heat domes with minimal frontal intrusions, consistently driving forecast highs into the low 100s across multiple NWS runs. Key resolution criteria center on the official daily maximum from primary DFW reporting stations, which aligned with the 102-103°F bin. Realistic challenges remain limited to minor station-to-station variability or last-minute data revisions, though these rarely exceed 1–2°F and have not altered the dominant outcome in comparable events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on July 31?
102-103°F 100.0%
$64,525 Vol.
$64,525 Vol.
102-103°F
100%
102-103°F 100.0%
$64,525 Vol.
$64,525 Vol.
102-103°F
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 102-103°F as the official high for Dallas on July 31, 2026, reflecting National Weather Service model consensus and preliminary station observations under persistent high pressure and clear skies. July climatology for the Dallas-Fort Worth area shows average highs near 96°F, yet 2026 summer patterns featured repeated heat domes with minimal frontal intrusions, consistently driving forecast highs into the low 100s across multiple NWS runs. Key resolution criteria center on the official daily maximum from primary DFW reporting stations, which aligned with the 102-103°F bin. Realistic challenges remain limited to minor station-to-station variability or last-minute data revisions, though these rarely exceed 1–2°F and have not altered the dominant outcome in comparable events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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