Latest Météo-France forecasts and regional model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 18°C in Paris on August 10, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25–28°C. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the Île-de-France region, where average overnight lows range 15–18°C and urban heat-island effects rarely push minima above 19°C absent anomalous warm advection. High trader consensus around 18°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus real-time surface observations confirming the expected cooling trajectory. A rapid increase in low-level moisture or unexpected southeasterly flow could raise the low to 19°C, while stronger clear-sky conditions or a brief northerly shift might allow a dip to 17°C before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 10?
18°C 99%
17°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$12,209 Vol.
$12,209 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99%
17°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$12,209 Vol.
$12,209 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
16°C or below
$1,253 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,562 Vol.
2%
18°C
$2,723 Vol.
99%
19°C
$2,531 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$994 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$653 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$604 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$700 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$389 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Météo-France forecasts and regional model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 18°C in Paris on August 10, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25–28°C. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the Île-de-France region, where average overnight lows range 15–18°C and urban heat-island effects rarely push minima above 19°C absent anomalous warm advection. High trader consensus around 18°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus real-time surface observations confirming the expected cooling trajectory. A rapid increase in low-level moisture or unexpected southeasterly flow could raise the low to 19°C, while stronger clear-sky conditions or a brief northerly shift might allow a dip to 17°C before midnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,209End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Météo-France forecasts and regional model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 18°C in Paris on August 10, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25–28°C. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the Île-de-France region, where average overnight lows range 15–18°C and urban heat-island effects rarely push minima above 19°C absent anomalous warm advection. High trader consensus around 18°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus real-time surface observations confirming the expected cooling trajectory. A rapid increase in low-level moisture or unexpected southeasterly flow could raise the low to 19°C, while stronger clear-sky conditions or a brief northerly shift might allow a dip to 17°C before midnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,209End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts and regional model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 18°C in Paris on August 10, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds that promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25–28°C. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the Île-de-France region, where average overnight lows range 15–18°C and urban heat-island effects rarely push minima above 19°C absent anomalous warm advection. High trader consensus around 18°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus real-time surface observations confirming the expected cooling trajectory. A rapid increase in low-level moisture or unexpected southeasterly flow could raise the low to 19°C, while stronger clear-sky conditions or a brief northerly shift might allow a dip to 17°C before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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