Current forecasts from models and agencies point to a daytime maximum in Taipei on August 2 around 36–37 °C, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Peak summer conditions under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high-pressure system, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical August humidity exceeding 75 %, support these levels. Day-to-day variability arises from the timing and coverage of afternoon showers or cloud build-up, which can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C, while clearer skies allow brief excursions toward 38 °C. Official Central Weather Administration observations at the Taipei station will resolve the market using the daily high, with the latest model runs showing only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 2?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 2?
36°C 37%
37°C 35%
38°C 15%
35°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
11%
36°C
37%
37°C
35%
38°C
15%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
37°C 35%
38°C 15%
35°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
30°C or below
$295 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$456 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$767 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$756 Vol.
2%
35°C
$1,335 Vol.
11%
36°C
$1,015 Vol.
37%
37°C
$588 Vol.
35%
38°C
$1,986 Vol.
15%
39°C
$1,421 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$1,029 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models and agencies point to a daytime maximum in Taipei on August 2 around 36–37 °C, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Peak summer conditions under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high-pressure system, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical August humidity exceeding 75 %, support these levels. Day-to-day variability arises from the timing and coverage of afternoon showers or cloud build-up, which can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C, while clearer skies allow brief excursions toward 38 °C. Official Central Weather Administration observations at the Taipei station will resolve the market using the daily high, with the latest model runs showing only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,946End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models and agencies point to a daytime maximum in Taipei on August 2 around 36–37 °C, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Peak summer conditions under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high-pressure system, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical August humidity exceeding 75 %, support these levels. Day-to-day variability arises from the timing and coverage of afternoon showers or cloud build-up, which can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C, while clearer skies allow brief excursions toward 38 °C. Official Central Weather Administration observations at the Taipei station will resolve the market using the daily high, with the latest model runs showing only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,946End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models and agencies point to a daytime maximum in Taipei on August 2 around 36–37 °C, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Peak summer conditions under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high-pressure system, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical August humidity exceeding 75 %, support these levels. Day-to-day variability arises from the timing and coverage of afternoon showers or cloud build-up, which can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C, while clearer skies allow brief excursions toward 38 °C. Official Central Weather Administration observations at the Taipei station will resolve the market using the daily high, with the latest model runs showing only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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