Forecast models from sources like timeanddate.com and AccuWeather project a maximum temperature near 35–36°C (95–97°F) for Wuhan on August 2, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms and modest precipitation chances around 14%. This aligns with typical early-August subtropical conditions influenced by the western Pacific subtropical high, high humidity, and urban heat effects that can elevate daytime peaks. Close market probabilities for 36°C (43.5%) and 37°C (37%) reflect ensemble spread in model runs regarding exact afternoon cloud timing and any convective cooling, while lower odds for 38°C or below 35°C capture tail risks from forecast shifts. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration updates and regional observations will refine these near-term projections ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 2?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 2?
36°C 44%
37°C 39%
38°C 16%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
5%
36°C
44%
37°C
39%
38°C
16%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 44%
37°C 39%
38°C 16%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
31°C or below
$262 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,046 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,295 Vol.
1%
35°C
$595 Vol.
5%
36°C
$1,872 Vol.
44%
37°C
$1,122 Vol.
39%
38°C
$614 Vol.
16%
39°C
$365 Vol.
2%
40°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$262 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like timeanddate.com and AccuWeather project a maximum temperature near 35–36°C (95–97°F) for Wuhan on August 2, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms and modest precipitation chances around 14%. This aligns with typical early-August subtropical conditions influenced by the western Pacific subtropical high, high humidity, and urban heat effects that can elevate daytime peaks. Close market probabilities for 36°C (43.5%) and 37°C (37%) reflect ensemble spread in model runs regarding exact afternoon cloud timing and any convective cooling, while lower odds for 38°C or below 35°C capture tail risks from forecast shifts. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration updates and regional observations will refine these near-term projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$8,077End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like timeanddate.com and AccuWeather project a maximum temperature near 35–36°C (95–97°F) for Wuhan on August 2, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms and modest precipitation chances around 14%. This aligns with typical early-August subtropical conditions influenced by the western Pacific subtropical high, high humidity, and urban heat effects that can elevate daytime peaks. Close market probabilities for 36°C (43.5%) and 37°C (37%) reflect ensemble spread in model runs regarding exact afternoon cloud timing and any convective cooling, while lower odds for 38°C or below 35°C capture tail risks from forecast shifts. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration updates and regional observations will refine these near-term projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,077End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like timeanddate.com and AccuWeather project a maximum temperature near 35–36°C (95–97°F) for Wuhan on August 2, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms and modest precipitation chances around 14%. This aligns with typical early-August subtropical conditions influenced by the western Pacific subtropical high, high humidity, and urban heat effects that can elevate daytime peaks. Close market probabilities for 36°C (43.5%) and 37°C (37%) reflect ensemble spread in model runs regarding exact afternoon cloud timing and any convective cooling, while lower odds for 38°C or below 35°C capture tail risks from forecast shifts. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration updates and regional observations will refine these near-term projections ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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