Trader consensus around 27–29°C for Shenzhen’s August 2 maximum reflects model consensus on persistent monsoon cloud cover and heavy rainfall that will limit daytime insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent extended forecasts from timeanddate and regional sources show highs near 26–28°C under overcast conditions, with only modest recovery expected if breaks in cloud allow brief solar heating. Subtropical humidity near 80–85% amplifies the difference between clear-sky radiative warming and rain-cooled scenarios, while steering flow keeps the region under the monsoon trough rather than subtropical high pressure. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C underscore how anomalous cloud persistence can shift daily maxima downward by 2–4°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any late-model shifts in precipitation timing remain the key variables that could nudge the distribution among the tightly bunched leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 2?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 2?
28°C 29%
27°C 25%
29°C 23%
30°C 13%
NEW
$37,303 Vol.
NEW
$37,303 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
25%
28°C
29%
29°C
23%
30°C
13%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 29%
27°C 25%
29°C 23%
30°C 13%
NEW
$37,303 Vol.
NEW
$37,303 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
$987 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,025 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,884 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,947 Vol.
6%
27°C
$1,760 Vol.
25%
28°C
$3,151 Vol.
29%
29°C
$1,505 Vol.
23%
30°C
$1,670 Vol.
13%
31°C
$2,676 Vol.
8%
32°C
$6,667 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$14,031 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 27–29°C for Shenzhen’s August 2 maximum reflects model consensus on persistent monsoon cloud cover and heavy rainfall that will limit daytime insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent extended forecasts from timeanddate and regional sources show highs near 26–28°C under overcast conditions, with only modest recovery expected if breaks in cloud allow brief solar heating. Subtropical humidity near 80–85% amplifies the difference between clear-sky radiative warming and rain-cooled scenarios, while steering flow keeps the region under the monsoon trough rather than subtropical high pressure. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C underscore how anomalous cloud persistence can shift daily maxima downward by 2–4°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any late-model shifts in precipitation timing remain the key variables that could nudge the distribution among the tightly bunched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$37,303End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 27–29°C for Shenzhen’s August 2 maximum reflects model consensus on persistent monsoon cloud cover and heavy rainfall that will limit daytime insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent extended forecasts from timeanddate and regional sources show highs near 26–28°C under overcast conditions, with only modest recovery expected if breaks in cloud allow brief solar heating. Subtropical humidity near 80–85% amplifies the difference between clear-sky radiative warming and rain-cooled scenarios, while steering flow keeps the region under the monsoon trough rather than subtropical high pressure. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C underscore how anomalous cloud persistence can shift daily maxima downward by 2–4°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any late-model shifts in precipitation timing remain the key variables that could nudge the distribution among the tightly bunched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,303End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 27–29°C for Shenzhen’s August 2 maximum reflects model consensus on persistent monsoon cloud cover and heavy rainfall that will limit daytime insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent extended forecasts from timeanddate and regional sources show highs near 26–28°C under overcast conditions, with only modest recovery expected if breaks in cloud allow brief solar heating. Subtropical humidity near 80–85% amplifies the difference between clear-sky radiative warming and rain-cooled scenarios, while steering flow keeps the region under the monsoon trough rather than subtropical high pressure. Historical August baselines near 30–32°C underscore how anomalous cloud persistence can shift daily maxima downward by 2–4°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any late-model shifts in precipitation timing remain the key variables that could nudge the distribution among the tightly bunched leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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