Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 2 clustering tightly around 30–31°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show modest day-to-day variability driven by the position of the western Pacific subtropical high and southerly flow off the South China Sea. These conditions favor typical early-August peak readings near the long-term climatological mean, with limited advection of cooler air or enhanced solar heating from clearer skies. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, keeping the 29–32°C outcomes within a few percentage points of each other. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF later today could shift probabilities if they alter the timing of any weak frontal passage or convective cloud cover.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 2?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 2?
30°C 34%
31°C 29%
29°C 19%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
19%
30°C
34%
31°C
29%
32°C
13%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
31°C 29%
29°C 19%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
25°C or below
$290 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$385 Vol.
1%
28°C
$484 Vol.
5%
29°C
$538 Vol.
19%
30°C
$408 Vol.
34%
31°C
$427 Vol.
29%
32°C
$1,367 Vol.
13%
33°C
$1,581 Vol.
3%
34°C
$318 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$522 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 2 clustering tightly around 30–31°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show modest day-to-day variability driven by the position of the western Pacific subtropical high and southerly flow off the South China Sea. These conditions favor typical early-August peak readings near the long-term climatological mean, with limited advection of cooler air or enhanced solar heating from clearer skies. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, keeping the 29–32°C outcomes within a few percentage points of each other. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF later today could shift probabilities if they alter the timing of any weak frontal passage or convective cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,529End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 2 clustering tightly around 30–31°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show modest day-to-day variability driven by the position of the western Pacific subtropical high and southerly flow off the South China Sea. These conditions favor typical early-August peak readings near the long-term climatological mean, with limited advection of cooler air or enhanced solar heating from clearer skies. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, keeping the 29–32°C outcomes within a few percentage points of each other. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF later today could shift probabilities if they alter the timing of any weak frontal passage or convective cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,529End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 2 clustering tightly around 30–31°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show modest day-to-day variability driven by the position of the western Pacific subtropical high and southerly flow off the South China Sea. These conditions favor typical early-August peak readings near the long-term climatological mean, with limited advection of cooler air or enhanced solar heating from clearer skies. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, keeping the 29–32°C outcomes within a few percentage points of each other. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF later today could shift probabilities if they alter the timing of any weak frontal passage or convective cloud cover.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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