Forecast models from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles indicate a daytime high near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by seasonal subtropical high pressure combined with moderate moisture from the North American monsoon. Afternoon convection and scattered showers, typical during the rainy season, are expected to limit peak heating and introduce slight downside risk to the daily maximum. Recent runs show ensemble spreads favoring 26–28°C, with historical August averages around 24–26°C providing context for current trader consensus. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window at Benito Juárez International Airport will refine humidity and wind inputs that most directly influence resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 2?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 2?
27°C 51%
28°C 20%
26°C 19%
25°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
19%
27°C
51%
28°C
20%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 51%
28°C 20%
26°C 19%
25°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
20°C or below
$183 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$171 Vol.
1%
24°C
$193 Vol.
3%
25°C
$217 Vol.
6%
26°C
$396 Vol.
19%
27°C
$1,454 Vol.
51%
28°C
$551 Vol.
20%
29°C
$188 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$185 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles indicate a daytime high near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by seasonal subtropical high pressure combined with moderate moisture from the North American monsoon. Afternoon convection and scattered showers, typical during the rainy season, are expected to limit peak heating and introduce slight downside risk to the daily maximum. Recent runs show ensemble spreads favoring 26–28°C, with historical August averages around 24–26°C providing context for current trader consensus. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window at Benito Juárez International Airport will refine humidity and wind inputs that most directly influence resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$3,891End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles indicate a daytime high near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by seasonal subtropical high pressure combined with moderate moisture from the North American monsoon. Afternoon convection and scattered showers, typical during the rainy season, are expected to limit peak heating and introduce slight downside risk to the daily maximum. Recent runs show ensemble spreads favoring 26–28°C, with historical August averages around 24–26°C providing context for current trader consensus. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window at Benito Juárez International Airport will refine humidity and wind inputs that most directly influence resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,891End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles indicate a daytime high near 27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by seasonal subtropical high pressure combined with moderate moisture from the North American monsoon. Afternoon convection and scattered showers, typical during the rainy season, are expected to limit peak heating and introduce slight downside risk to the daily maximum. Recent runs show ensemble spreads favoring 26–28°C, with historical August averages around 24–26°C providing context for current trader consensus. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window at Benito Juárez International Airport will refine humidity and wind inputs that most directly influence resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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