Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. High altitude of approximately 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while the ongoing rainy season promotes afternoon cloud cover, thunderstorms, and reduced solar insolation that typically caps peak readings. Official climatological baselines show early-August highs averaging 23–25°C, with occasional spikes to 27°C under clearer, drier conditions. Updated model runs emphasize persistent moisture and easterly flow, favoring the 25–26°C range over higher or lower outcomes, though any shift in storm timing or reduced rainfall could adjust the realized maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 1?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 1?
26°C 45%
25°C 27%
27°C 24%
24°C 6%
NEW
$12,818 Vol.
NEW
$12,818 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
6%
25°C
27%
26°C
45%
27°C
24%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 45%
25°C 27%
27°C 24%
24°C 6%
NEW
$12,818 Vol.
NEW
$12,818 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
19°C or below
$271 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$300 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$494 Vol.
6%
25°C
$1,950 Vol.
27%
26°C
$3,180 Vol.
45%
27°C
$4,423 Vol.
24%
28°C
$735 Vol.
2%
29°C or higher
$693 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. High altitude of approximately 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while the ongoing rainy season promotes afternoon cloud cover, thunderstorms, and reduced solar insolation that typically caps peak readings. Official climatological baselines show early-August highs averaging 23–25°C, with occasional spikes to 27°C under clearer, drier conditions. Updated model runs emphasize persistent moisture and easterly flow, favoring the 25–26°C range over higher or lower outcomes, though any shift in storm timing or reduced rainfall could adjust the realized maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$12,818End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. High altitude of approximately 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while the ongoing rainy season promotes afternoon cloud cover, thunderstorms, and reduced solar insolation that typically caps peak readings. Official climatological baselines show early-August highs averaging 23–25°C, with occasional spikes to 27°C under clearer, drier conditions. Updated model runs emphasize persistent moisture and easterly flow, favoring the 25–26°C range over higher or lower outcomes, though any shift in storm timing or reduced rainfall could adjust the realized maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,818End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 25–26°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. High altitude of approximately 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while the ongoing rainy season promotes afternoon cloud cover, thunderstorms, and reduced solar insolation that typically caps peak readings. Official climatological baselines show early-August highs averaging 23–25°C, with occasional spikes to 27°C under clearer, drier conditions. Updated model runs emphasize persistent moisture and easterly flow, favoring the 25–26°C range over higher or lower outcomes, though any shift in storm timing or reduced rainfall could adjust the realized maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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