**Latest official forecasts and model consensus for Buenos Aires on August 1, 2026, point to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C under typical late-winter conditions.** In the Southern Hemisphere, August brings cooler air masses from the south, keeping daytime highs near the long-term average of 15–18°C for the city’s humid subtropical climate. Current guidance from sources including AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and regional models shows highs clustering around 17–19°C (roughly 63–66°F), with light winds, possible drizzle, and no strong warming advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings higher. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range: the heavy weighting on 19°C (80.5%) aligns with the upper end of the forecast envelope, while the smaller probabilities on 20°C+ (under 12% combined) capture residual model uncertainty or slight upside surprises. Lower outcomes receive minimal market-implied odds because minimum temperatures and observed trends make sub-18°C maxima unlikely without an unforecasted cold surge. Upcoming surface observations and any final model updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will determine exact resolution within this tight band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 1?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 1?
19°C 78%
20°C 17%
21°C 7%
24°C or higher <1%
$51,354 Vol.
$51,354 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
78%
20°C
17%
21°C
7%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 78%
20°C 17%
21°C 7%
24°C or higher <1%
$51,354 Vol.
$51,354 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
14°C or below
$297 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,430 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,052 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$15,009 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$4,730 Vol.
78%
20°C
$8,955 Vol.
17%
21°C
$5,335 Vol.
7%
22°C
$5,856 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,388 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$3,866 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts and model consensus for Buenos Aires on August 1, 2026, point to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C under typical late-winter conditions.**
In the Southern Hemisphere, August brings cooler air masses from the south, keeping daytime highs near the long-term average of 15–18°C for the city’s humid subtropical climate. Current guidance from sources including AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and regional models shows highs clustering around 17–19°C (roughly 63–66°F), with light winds, possible drizzle, and no strong warming advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings higher.
Trader positioning reflects this narrow range: the heavy weighting on 19°C (80.5%) aligns with the upper end of the forecast envelope, while the smaller probabilities on 20°C+ (under 12% combined) capture residual model uncertainty or slight upside surprises. Lower outcomes receive minimal market-implied odds because minimum temperatures and observed trends make sub-18°C maxima unlikely without an unforecasted cold surge.
Upcoming surface observations and any final model updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will determine exact resolution within this tight band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$51,354End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts and model consensus for Buenos Aires on August 1, 2026, point to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C under typical late-winter conditions.**
In the Southern Hemisphere, August brings cooler air masses from the south, keeping daytime highs near the long-term average of 15–18°C for the city’s humid subtropical climate. Current guidance from sources including AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and regional models shows highs clustering around 17–19°C (roughly 63–66°F), with light winds, possible drizzle, and no strong warming advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings higher.
Trader positioning reflects this narrow range: the heavy weighting on 19°C (80.5%) aligns with the upper end of the forecast envelope, while the smaller probabilities on 20°C+ (under 12% combined) capture residual model uncertainty or slight upside surprises. Lower outcomes receive minimal market-implied odds because minimum temperatures and observed trends make sub-18°C maxima unlikely without an unforecasted cold surge.
Upcoming surface observations and any final model updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will determine exact resolution within this tight band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,354End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts and model consensus for Buenos Aires on August 1, 2026, point to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C under typical late-winter conditions.** In the Southern Hemisphere, August brings cooler air masses from the south, keeping daytime highs near the long-term average of 15–18°C for the city’s humid subtropical climate. Current guidance from sources including AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and regional models shows highs clustering around 17–19°C (roughly 63–66°F), with light winds, possible drizzle, and no strong warming advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings higher. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range: the heavy weighting on 19°C (80.5%) aligns with the upper end of the forecast envelope, while the smaller probabilities on 20°C+ (under 12% combined) capture residual model uncertainty or slight upside surprises. Lower outcomes receive minimal market-implied odds because minimum temperatures and observed trends make sub-18°C maxima unlikely without an unforecasted cold surge. Upcoming surface observations and any final model updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will determine exact resolution within this tight band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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