Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on August 1, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over central Turkey that limit daytime heating. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models aligns with this range, consistent with climatological averages for early August highs near 29°C while accounting for recent observational trends showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C at 94% implied probability because near-term data releases and real-time measurements are unlikely to shift the outcome significantly. Only substantial forecast revisions from unexpected warm advection or measurement anomalies at the official station could realistically push the recorded high to 29°C or above.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 1?
28°C 93%
29°C 5%
30°C 2%
23°C or below <1%
$35,870 Vol.
$35,870 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
93%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 93%
29°C 5%
30°C 2%
23°C or below <1%
$35,870 Vol.
$35,870 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
23°C or below
$1,101 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,035 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,131 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,047 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,816 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,562 Vol.
93%
29°C
$4,174 Vol.
5%
30°C
$6,314 Vol.
2%
31°C
$2,295 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,102 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$292 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on August 1, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over central Turkey that limit daytime heating. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models aligns with this range, consistent with climatological averages for early August highs near 29°C while accounting for recent observational trends showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C at 94% implied probability because near-term data releases and real-time measurements are unlikely to shift the outcome significantly. Only substantial forecast revisions from unexpected warm advection or measurement anomalies at the official station could realistically push the recorded high to 29°C or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$35,870End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on August 1, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over central Turkey that limit daytime heating. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models aligns with this range, consistent with climatological averages for early August highs near 29°C while accounting for recent observational trends showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C at 94% implied probability because near-term data releases and real-time measurements are unlikely to shift the outcome significantly. Only substantial forecast revisions from unexpected warm advection or measurement anomalies at the official station could realistically push the recorded high to 29°C or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,870End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on August 1, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over central Turkey that limit daytime heating. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models aligns with this range, consistent with climatological averages for early August highs near 29°C while accounting for recent observational trends showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C at 94% implied probability because near-term data releases and real-time measurements are unlikely to shift the outcome significantly. Only substantial forecast revisions from unexpected warm advection or measurement anomalies at the official station could realistically push the recorded high to 29°C or above.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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